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  • 1.
    Algotsson, Josefina
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Van Der Stelt, Frank
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Abdoush, Diala
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Swedish coastal water bodies on Wikidata Combining WFD data with Wikidata2019Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    In accordance with the Water Framework Directive, the water district authorities report environmental information on Sweden’s surface water bodies to the EU.Under the government commission Smartare miljöinformation to the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, Naturvårdsverket, the initiative was taken to adopt the reported environmental information on Sweden’s coastal water bodies to Wikidata and Wikipedia. SMHI has led the initiative with support from Wikimedia Sweden, the South Baltic Sea Water District Authority, the county administrative board of Jönköping and Wikimedia volunteers.The aim of this project has been to make the environmental information about Sweden’s coastal water bodies more accessible to the public, to disseminate knowledge about status classification and create conditions for increasing environmental awareness among the public. The project has resulted in:• 653 new coastal water bodies are described on Wikidata.• Wikipedia articles on water management in Sweden, coastal water bodies and the SVAR database have been created.• A template for infoboxes on Wikipedia has been developed and can automatically retrieve and display the status classification of coastal water bodies.• The template for infoboxes on coastal water bodies is used in articles on coastal waters on Wikipedia.• The license for the SVAR database is set to CC0, which facilitates the use of the information and opens the possibility of using it in more ways than before.

  • 2.
    Almroth, Elin
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Skogen, Morten
    Institute of Marine Research, Bergen, Norway..
    Sehested Hansen, Ian
    Institute of Marine Research, Bergen, Norway..
    Stipa, Tapani
    FMI.
    Niiranen, Susa
    FMI.
    The Year 2006 An Eutrophication Status Report of the North Sea, Skagerrak Kattegat and the Baltic Sea: A demonstration Project2008Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    This is the third year joint status report for the North Sea, Skagerrak, Kattegat and the Baltic Sea area (Fig. 1) carried out by SMHI, IMR, DHI and FIMR as a part of the project BANSAI, supported by the Nordic Council of Ministers’ Sea and Air Group. The aim of the demonstration project is to integrate marine observations and eutrophication model simulations in an annual eutrophication assessment of the Baltic and the North seas. The present report is mainly based on model estimates of some of the indicators suggested by the OSPAR Common Procedure (c.f. Appendix) for the identification of the eutrophication status of the maritime area (OSPAR, 2005). This report serve as a basis for the on-going discussions about the ecological quality indicators included in the assessment, and the way to merge results from different models and observations for the assessment.Estimations of river discharges and model results are used to describe the degree of nutrient enrichment (Category I) defined by the riverine loadings of nitrogen and phosphorus, and winter surface concentrations and ratios of DIN and DIP. The direct effects of nutrient enrichment during the growing season (Category II) are described in terms of the mean and maximum chlorophyll-a concentrations and model estimations of primary production. The ratio between diatoms and flagellates is used as an indicator of region specific phytoplankton indicator species (Category II). The indirect effects of nutrient enrichment (Category III) are discussed in terms of oxygen depletion in bottom waters. Estimations of region specific background concentrations and threshold values are gathered from the literature (Helcom, 2006; OSPAR, 2005) and used for the model assessment. The four model systems used for the joint assessment (Fig. 2) cover different parts of the North Sea, Skagerrak, Kattegat and the Baltic Sea area. Detailed descriptions of the models may be found on the web-sites presented below the figure.In section 2 the key messages from this assessment will be presented. In section 3, each country gives a brief observations overview for 2006 and some references to other sources and reports that might be useful for the readers. The methods of the assessment are described in section 4. Statistical characteristics of model results and in-situ data are presented in section 5 and the model assessment of eutrophication status is done in section 6. Conclusions and comments to the assessment are presented in section 7.

  • 3.
    Ambjörn, Cecilia
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Förstudie av ett nordiskt modellsystem för kemikaliespridning i vatten1988Report (Other academic)
  • 4.
    Ambjörn, Cecilia
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Isproppsförebyggande muddring och dess inverkan på strömmarna i Torneälven1992Report (Other academic)
  • 5.
    Ambjörn, Cecilia
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Oceanografiska förhållanden i Brofjorden i samband med kylvattenutsläpp i Trommekilen1989Report (Other academic)
  • 6.
    Ambjörn, Cecilia
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Oceanografiska förhållanden utanför Vendelsöfjorden i samband med kylvattenutsläpp1990Report (Other academic)
  • 7.
    Ambjörn, Cecilia
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Spridning av kylvatten från Öresundsverket1987Report (Other academic)
  • 8.
    Ambjörn, Cecilia
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Spridning och sedimentation av tippat lermaterial utanför Helsingborgs hamnområde1989Report (Other academic)
  • 9.
    Ambjörn, Cecilia
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Strömningsteknisk utredning avseende utbyggnad av gipsdeponi i Landskrona1990Report (Other academic)
  • 10.
    Ambjörn, Cecilia
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Utbyggnad vid Malmö hamn; effekter för Lommabuktens vattenutbyte1986Report (Other academic)
  • 11.
    Ambjörn, Cecilia
    et al.
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Grafström, Torbjörn
    SMHI.
    Andersson, Jan
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Spridningsberäkningar - Klints Bank1990Report (Other academic)
  • 12.
    Ambjörn, Cecilia
    et al.
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Wickström, Kjell
    SMHI.
    Spridningsundersökningar i norra Kalmarsund för Mönsterås bruk1990Report (Other academic)
  • 13.
    Ambjörn, Cecilia
    et al.
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Wickström, Kjell
    SMHI.
    Undersökning av vattenmiljön vid utfyllnaden av Kockums varvsbassäng: Slutrapport för perioden 18 juni - 21 augusti 19871987Report (Other academic)
  • 14.
    Andersson, Helén
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Eriksson Bram, Lena
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Hjerdt, Niclas
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Lindström, Göran
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    Löptien, Ulrike
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Strömqvist, Johan
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    Översikt av beräkningsmodeller för bedömning av fiskodlingars näringsämnesbelastning på sjöar, vattendrag, magasin och kustvatten2016Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [sv]

    Den här rapporten är en kunskapssammanställning som utförts av SMHI på uppdrag av Havs- och Vattenmyndigheten. Den utgör inte något ställningstagande från Havs- och vattenmyndighetens sida. Rapporten försöker att sammanfatta den problematik som associeras med näringsämnesbelastningar från fiskodlingar i öppna kassar, vilka typer av beräkningar som kan behöva göras för att få en uppfattning om hur dessa kan påverka miljön samt några olika typer av modeller för detta ändamål.

    Fisk-, alg- och skaldjursodling är en växande industri runt om i världen som kan ge såväl näringsrik och hälsosam mat som arbetstillfällen. En nackdel med framförallt fiskodling i öppna kassar är att den kan innebära en påfrestning för vattenmiljön. De näringsämnen som ofta släpps ut från odlingen kan bidra till den övergödningsproblematik som redan finns i många sjöar och havsområden. Det är därför av största vikt att få en god uppskattning av den förväntade storleken på utsläppen förknippade med en öppen odling samt hur de kan tänkas förändra vattenkvaliteten på odlingsplatsen och dess närhet. Beräkningsmodeller kan vara till god hjälp vid bedömningen.

    Fiskar utsöndrar lösta näringsämnen och från odlingskassarna faller det också ut partikulärt organiskt material i form av fekalier och oätet foder. Storleken på näringsämneskällorna behöver beräknas och det finns modeller av olika komplexitet för att uppskatta detta. Storleken på det partikulära avfallet är viktigt dels för att det bidrarmed näringsämnen till vattnet och dels för att det kan ge upphov till ansamlingar av organiskt material på bottnen. När det organiska materialet bryts ner förbrukas syre och om ansamlingarna blir omfattande finns en risk för att det uppstår syrebrist vid bottnen. Om svavelväte bildas kan det orsaka skador på såväl den odlade fisken som det lokala ekosystemet. Odlingen kan också bidra till en försämrad vattenkvalitet i sin omgivning genom att tillgången av lösta näringsämnen blir större och därmed ge en ökad algproduktion. Den ökade algproduktionen skall i sin tur brytas ner och kan i förlängningen bidra till syrebristproblematiken.

    Det finns ett antal modeller som är specifikt utvecklade för fiskodlingar i öppna kassar och de tar i olika hög grad upp den beskrivna problematiken. Rapporten innehåller detaljerade genomgångar av några av modeller för att visa på styrkor och svagheter kring olika angreppsätt. Den innehåller också sammanfattningar av några vanligt förekommande modeller som använts internationellt vid bedömning av fiskodlingars miljöpåverkan. För att minska den negativa påverkan på vattenmiljön från har det också utvecklats recirkulerande system för odling. Rapporten tar inte upp belastning från den typen av fiskodlingar. Om utsläppen från ett sådant system är känt kan dock vattenkvalitetsmodeller användas för att se effekten av utsläpp från en punktkälla.

    Rapporten sammanfattar ett antal vattenkvalitetsmodeller för sjöar, vattendrag, kust och hav. En vattenkvalitetsmodell behöver inte nödvändigtvis vara utvecklad för att beskriva konsekvenser av fiskodlingar men bör kunna hantera frågeställningar som uppkommer vid bedömningar av övergödningsrisk vid utsläpp från en punktkälla. Den behöver därför kunna simulera parametrar såsom förändringen av näringsämneskoncentrationer, primärproduktion, siktdjup och syrgashalter på olika nivåer i vattenmassan. Modeller för den här typen av uppskattningar finns också i olika komplexitetsgrad och för olika skalor i tid och rum.

    Vid modellering är en god tillgång till observationer en förutsättning för pålitliga modellresultat och behövs såväl för att driva och kalibrera modellen som för validering av modellresultaten. Det är viktigt att tillgängliga data håller god kvalitet. En noggrann analys och beskrivning av den tillgängliga databasen hjälper därmed till att bedöma tillförlitligheten av modellsimuleringarna.

  • 15.
    Andersson, Helén
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Wallman, Patrik
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    Donnelly, Chantal
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    Visualization of hydrological, physical and biogeochemical modelling of the Baltic Sea using a GeoDomeTM2011Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    The ECOSUPPORT-project aims to help policy makers by supplying state-of-the-art research on the state of the Baltic Sea under different scenarios of nutrient supply, pressure from fisheries and impact of climate change. In order to make the research results accessible, a new form of scientific communication has been tested. Presentation of research data and physical, chemical and biogeochemical processes on land and in the sea were made using a special visualization platform, Uniview, which was projected onto a cupola-shaped screen inside an inflatable, enclosed dome. The visualization has been tested on different audiences including policy makers, politicians, researchers and university students. Overall, the response has been overwhelmingly positive with the audience expressing the view that the used visualization technique enhanced their understanding and receptiveness. This view was shared with the scientific presenters.

  • 16.
    Andersson, Jan
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Brofjordens kraftstation: Kylvattenspridning i Hanneviken1990Report (Other academic)
  • 17.
    Andersson, Jan
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Hillgren, Robert
    SMHI, Core Services.
    SMHIs undersökningar i Öregrundsgrepen 19861987Report (Other academic)
  • 18.
    Andersson, Jan
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Hillgren, Robert
    SMHI, Core Services.
    SMHIs undersökningar i Öregrundsgrepen perioden 84/851986Report (Other academic)
  • 19.
    Andersson, Jan
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Hillgren, Robert
    SMHI, Core Services.
    SMHIs undersökningar utanför Forsmark 19871988Report (Other academic)
  • 20.
    Andersson, Jan
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Hillgren, Robert
    SMHI, Core Services.
    SMHIs undersökningar utanför Forsmark 19921993Report (Other academic)
  • 21.
    Andersson, Jan
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Hillgren, Robert
    SMHI, Core Services.
    SMHIs undersökningar utanför Forsmark 19931994Report (Other academic)
  • 22.
    Andersson, Jan
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Hillgren, Robert
    SMHI, Core Services.
    SMHIs undersökningar utanför Forsmark 19941995Report (Other academic)
  • 23.
    Andersson, Jan
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Hillgren, Robert
    SMHI, Core Services.
    SMHIs undersökningar utanför Forsmark 19951996Report (Other academic)
  • 24.
    Andersson, Jan
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Hillgren, Robert
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Westring, Gustaf
    SMHI.
    Förstudie av strömmar, tidvatten och vattenstånd mellan Cebu och Leyte, Filippinerna1992Report (Other academic)
  • 25.
    Andersson, Lars
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Kajrup, Nils
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Sjöberg, Björn
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Dimensionering av de nationella marina pelagialprogrammen2004Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [sv]

    Det nya miljöövervakningssystemet skall fokuseras mot att följa de uppsatta miljömålen, säkra internationell rapportering, samt ge underlag för de kommande miljökvalitetsnormerna. Den nationella marina pelagialövervakningen skall tillsammans med övrig nationell och internationell information kunna redovisa i första hand tillstånd och effekter av eutrofiering och i andra hand tillstånd och förändringar med avseende på biologisk mångfald.SMHI fick med andledning av detta i uppdrag att utreda hur ett nationellt marint pelagialprogram torde dimensioneras. På det datamaterial som fanns tillgängligt har dels styrkeberäkningar utförts, för att avgöra möjligheten att fastställa trender, dels spatial korrelation studerats, för att beräkna den rumsliga upplösning som krävs. Den analys som utförts, tyder på att nuvarande program i stort sett är rätt dimensionerade, både när det gäller tidsmässig och rumslig upplösning. När det gäller de kemiska och fysikaliska parametrarna kan man i de flesta fall, med nuvarande frekvens, upptäcka de förändringar som anges i förutsättningarna. När det gäller de biologiska parametrarna har det varit svårare att göra en riktig analys. Det är dock helt uppenbart att de biologiska parametrarna kräver en högre mätfrekvens, åtminstone under viss del av året, än de kemiskt-fysiska. Därför bör biologisk provtagning i första hand koncentreras till de högintensiva stationerna.

  • 26.
    Andersson, Pia
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Ballast Water Exchange Areas: Prospects of designating BWE areas in the Baltic Proper2007Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    Investigations were made to find out if there are areas with suitable environments for ballast water exchange. Suitable conditions may be areas of certain depths (preferably >200 meters) or distance from the coast (preferably >200nm or >50nm).The main focus is on the southern Baltic Proper since it is the area with the highest traffic, it has the largest of the two existing areas in the Baltic Sea >50nm from the coast.The Baltic Sea is not very large and there are nutrients available most of the year. During spring, the biovolume is at its highest, though there are biological activities (even HABs), mainly to the end of the year. The nutrient level is not low enough to prevent indigenous species survival.The very brackish surface waters vary between 5 psu in the Bothnian Sea to 7 psu in the southern Baltic Proper. The difference between fresh and central Baltic Proper water is not large.There is no definite way to say what specific salinity level will kill the BW organisms since there are many different organisms in the BW. As a rule of thumb, there is always a risk that they may survive.There is a high possibility that the surface waters in the BWE areas can be transported to protected areas or the coast and with a prevailing wind of 15 m/s it can take one day to one week, depending on the wind direction.Important assets like fish farms can be gravely affected, depending on the contents of the BW. Also competing or predatory species may cause harm, especially in spawning areas of fish or on native species on the sea bed. There are spawning grounds very close to the southern Baltic Proper proposed BWE area.Discharged pollutants normally affect the protected areas.The wave climate in the Baltic Proper is not very rough, especially when omparing to more open sea areas, hence not posing as high risk to the ship or crew safety.The total annual BWE discharge in the southern Baltic Proper is approximated to 1.9*109 m3.Most probably, the uptake of BW in the BWE area will be comprised of previously discharged BW, but at a low concentration.The BWE areas of interest are small. A ship will have to reduce the speed to be able to complete the exchange within the area.

  • 27.
    Andersson, Pia
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Ballast Water Exchange Areas: Prospects of designating BWE areas in the Skagerrak and the northern Norwegian Trench2007Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    Investigations were made to find out if there are areas with suitable environments for ballast water exchange (BWE) in the Skagerrak and the Norwegian Trench. Suitable conditions may be areas of certain depths (preferably >200 meters) or distance from the coast (preferably >200 nm or >50 nm). Certain oceanographical, biological and envitonmental issues should also be considered.In the Skagerrak there is no area >50 nm from the coast, but there is a small area within the Swedish territorial waters with depth >200 m. There is an area >50 nm from the coast with depth >200 m in the northern Norwegian Trench.Discharged ballst water in the BWE areas will be transported towards a coast or protected area. The main distance between the potential Skagerrak BWE area and the Natura 2000 areas are 10 to 15 nm.There are strong currents in both BWE areas and discharges could be transported over large areas during the following month. The entire Skagerrak area would be reached. Most parts of the costal zone would be reached within a week. The probability that a BW discharge will reach the nearby Natura 2000 areas is high. The shortest drift time to the protected areas along the Swedish coast and to the Norwegian coast is only a few days.A ship would have to stop or greatly reduce its speed to complete a BWE within the proposed Skagerrak area. In the northern Norwegian Trench, there is no major shipping lane nearby.The wave climate in the Skagerrak may not cause major concern for the safety for large ships. In the northern Norwegian Trench BWE area of interest, wave heights are a significant hazard on board most ships.Nutrient levels are not low enough to efficiently reduce the survival rate of the organisms introduced by BW.Discharged pollutants could normally affect the protected areas if transported to the area.There is no way to say what specific salinity level kill BW organisms since there are many different organisms in the BW. As a rule of thumb, there is always a risk that they may survive. If the organisms are harmful, they can or will affect vulnerable native organisms.The environment at the BWE area or in nearby protected areas, possibly with important assets, can be affected by the BW, although it is dependant on the BW contents. There is a wide variety of what it can contain. If the organisms or pollutants are harmful to a single species or to entire ecosystems, there is a clear risk of affecting protected areas.Important assets like fish and mussel farms can be affected. Competing or predatory species may cause harm, especially in spawning areas of fish or on benthic native species.Circulation of the central Skagerrak surface waters and eddies in the northern Norwegian Coastal Current, increase the risk of ships taking up previously discharged BW. The waters in the BWE areas have strong stratification, which prevents mixing with deep water.The risk of uptake is high, albeit with a reduced concentration. In many of the referenced texts however, the concentrations of the organisms are not of major importance. New organisms may survive and reproduce even at low starting numbers.Most results indicate that the proposed BWE areas are not suitable for BWE with reference to the requirements in the Ballast Water Convention and G14.

  • 28.
    Andersson, Pia
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Drivers of Marine Acidification in the Seas Surrounding Sweden2010Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    It is of common consensus in the ocean acidification community that the increase of atmospheric CO2 is the main driving force of the downwards pH trends in the worlds oceans. In the stations surrounding Sweden, that is most probably the main underlying factor as well, however the rate of change differs from the oceanic rates and there are different rates of change at different depths and different seasons.To investigate further, four monitoring stations with long time series of pH data in the Kattegat and the Baltic Proper have been analysed both for trends and what the main drivers of the change of pH values for those stations could be.Besides a linear trend analysis, a non parametric trend analysis has been applied to the pH data sets. It appears that the carbonate system generally works in the surface layer where the biologic processes are most active, reducing or prohibiting the decline of pH in most of the evaluated stations. It also seems like the downward trends of pH in most of the remaining water masses are influenced and accelerated by oxygen deficiency and eutrophicated water masses.A multivariate analysis was then performed to see what or what combination of parameters influence the change of the pH values the most. The results from the analysis were either significant or not significant, indicating either more trustworthy or not as trustworthy results. A result showing high correlation for a parameter or a set of parameters that influence pH, in combination with being significant, was then an indication of a trustworthy result.Several parameters were included in this analysis, however some key parameters that perhaps influence the changes of the pH values the most may have been missed due to the lack of available data or knowledge or included in the analysis, but in a wrong way. What this study was able to do, was to use the available parameters at hand and make assumptions on how to prepare the data to be able to combine it with the pH data. The results can give an indication as to how much the parameters influence the pH values out of the included parameters, in the manner they were included.Of all the parameters included in the analysis, O2, O2 saturation, PO4 and DIN were the main parameters influencing the pH values.When looking at what single parameter influence pH the most or the least of the included parameters, a table was put together to display what parameters were ranked to be most important and then second most important and so on to the least important parameter.For all stations, all seasons and all depths, there was a slight tendency for the parameters chl-a, atmospheric CO2, North Atlantic Oscillation Index, precipitation pH, river pH and river alkalinity to be ranked the least important. DIN seemed to be more important at the surface layers than at the bottom layers. Salinity and alkalinity seemed to be more important in the bottom layers than in the surface layers. At all depths, O2, O2 saturation, PO4 and SiO4 seemed to be of higher importance.Another interesting feature was that O2 seemed to be of importance throughout all depths except for the 10-20 meters depth, probably due to high variability at that depth. SiO4 seemed to be more important at the Kattegat station than at the other stations.Chl-a did not seem to be important. Since biological activity should have a large impact on pH, chl-a as included in the analysis, was not a good choice as a representative of the biological activity. O2 and O2 saturation were very much influencing the pH patterns. Perhaps in the top layers, they were better representatives for the biological activity in this analysis.It is also interesting to see the lack of importance of the atmospheric CO2. However, when performing trend analysis, not many pH trends were present at the surface (probably due to the biological and of course chemical/physical processes), opening up for O2, O2 saturation and nutrients to be the dominant parameters.In the report, the monitoring need of acidification parameters from a modelling point of view was addressed. The model validation would be very much improved if the concentrations of organic matter could be validated. Today only measurements of total nitrogen and phosphorus and dissolved inorganic nutrients are available. Including standard observations of particulate organic matter (PON, POP and POC) as well as dissolved organic matter (DON, DOP and DOC) would much improve the possibility to further develop the biogeochemical models.Another recommendation is to do a separate investigation based on the results from the coupled oceanographic and biogeochemical model RCO-SCOBI to recommend possible new stations that are important and not yet covered by the present sampling strategy.To calculate and model the saturation state over depth of calcite and aragonite, of high importance for calcifying organisms, the ions CO32- and Ca2+ need to be determined. Either CO32- directly could be measured, or pCO2 and CT (total carbon) could be measured, calculating the desired ion. Further more, the ion Ca2+ could be directly measured, or if not the highest accuracy is needed, estimations could be made from Ca/salinity relationships.

  • 29.
    Andersson, Pia
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Marine Acidification: On effects and monitoring of marine acidification in the seas surrounding Sweden2008Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    Surface waters in the world oceans have already experienced a pH reduction of about 0.1 units (OSPAR, 2006.) The trend indicates further decrease of pH and is most probably due to increased uptake of atmospheric CO2 and less buffering capacity of ocean waters. The trend is similar in the waters surrounding Sweden.

  • 30.
    Andreasson, Arnold
    et al.
    Arnold Andreasson Konsult AB.
    Strömberg, Patrik
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Prager, Maria
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Nexelius, Nils
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Automatisering av nationellt dataflöde till ICES genom skördning - en förstudie2016Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [sv]

    SMHI är, på uppdrag av Havs- och vattenmyndigheten (HaV), datavärd för svenska marina miljöövervakningsdata. En central del i uppdraget är att årligen rapportera nationellt insamlad data till nternationella Havsforskningsrådet, ICES.

    För biologiska data sker en årlig rapportering av data levererade från föregående års övervakning. Leveranserna sker på ett format definierat av ICES. Leveransernas innehåll valideras av SMHI mot ICES valideringstjänst DATSU via uppladdning till en webbsida. När samtliga fel är rättade skickas leveranserna till ICES via e-post.

    SMHI har fått ett uppdrag från HaV att utreda om det finns en möjlighet att låta ICES skörda data som ersättning för den nuvarande hanteringen med manuella leveranser. ICES har också ett intresse av att utreda om skördning av data är en lämplig metod för framtida inhämtande av data. ICES vill även testa möjligheterna att byta leveransformat till ett nytt XML-baserat format.

    SMHI föreslår en lösning där SMHI:s tjänst för maskin-maskin-kommunikation, SHARKdata, används. SHARKdata kommer att utökas för att kunna generera exportpaket i enlighet med ICES nya XML-baserade format. ICES har även kompletterat sin valideringstjänst DATSU med ett gränssnitt för maskin-maskinkommunikation så att man med automatik kan anropa DATSU och validera exportpaket. En prototyp har utvecklats för att visa hur SHARKdata kan användas för denna typ av hantering med skördning. I prototypen ingår även konvertering till en inledande testversion av XML-formatet för datatypen Zoobenthos.

    Det fortsatta projektet efter denna förstudie planeras som ett samarbete mellan SMHI och ICES. SMHI utvecklar fortlöpande SHARKdata i takt med att ICES släpper specifikationer på format för nya datatyper, parallellt med att data rapporteras på nuvarande sätt. Detta arbete beräknas pågå under 2016 och 2017, med varierande intensitet. Efter denna test- och utvecklingsperiod antas ICES släppa en ny version av sitt rapporteringformat och då kan SMHI gå över till det nya rapporteringssättet.

  • 31.
    Andreasson, Kristin
    et al.
    SMHI.
    Wikner, Johan
    Umeå Marine Sciences Centre (UMSC).
    Abrahamsson, Berndt
    Department of Systems Ecology, Stockholm University (SISU).
    Melrose, Chris
    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
    Nyberg, Svante
    Department of Systems Ecology, Stockholm University (SISU).
    Primary production measurments: An intercalibration during a cruise in the Kattegat and the Baltic Sea2009Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    In an effort to compare the primary production (PP) measurements in the Baltic Sea, four institutes got together in an intercalibration exercise with the aim to obtain similar values and a common method protocol. The strategy was to compare different methods on the same water sample and to identify sources to any differences. The four methods showed different results and the differences were systematic. This was due to that the methods measured different things and to that there were differences in the manuals followed as well as to differences in the measurements. The manuals gave also possibilities to choose different variations of the method. We have now managed to list all the differences and have a plan to investigate each step further with the aim to agree on a common method. This needs however to be tested to find the best method. The first step is to carefully measure the spectral composition of our incubators. We will see to that we get proper spectra and enough light. Other differences to be tested are the incubation time, the quality of 14C added and the end addition of hydrochloric acid, HCl. We think that the measurement of primary production is important and want to do it in the best possible way. To do this we need to have intercalibrations or a regular basis. We also need to test all the steps to find the most suitable method. The discussions will continue until a common manual is agreed upon. We also need to invite institutes from around the Baltic Sea to agree on a change in the common manuals.

  • 32.
    Axe, Philip
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Hansson, Martin
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Håkansson, Bertil
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    The National Monitoring Programme in the Kattegat and Skagerrak2004Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    To facilitate the development of the OSPAR eutrophication monitoring programme, this report presents the statistical strength of trends reported in the 2002 Common Procedure Report1. After correcting nutrient records to a reference salinity of 30 psu (to compensate for the effects of dilution), ortho-phosphate concentration exhibits a significant negative trend in the inshore Kattegat and Skagerrak. Significant decreases in silicate were observed in all areas. These changes caused changes in Redfield and other nutrient ratios. Indirect indicators of eutrophication (autumn, bottom oxygen concentration; growing-season chlorophyll-a concentration) exhibited significant trends. Chlorophyll-a concentration increased in the Skagerrak, while oxygen concentration decreased in all areas, apart from the inshore Kattegat.Spatial characteristics of the study area were tested using probability mapping. The Kattegat was found to be well represented by 8 divisions, while 4 areas were suitable Skagerrak.Changes in the current monitoring programme were not recommended. Increasing sampling frequency could interfere with the statistical independence of measurements – an assumption for the validity of trend calculations. Filling gaps in the existing time series improves the statistical significance of observed trends. This requires effective data exchange between monitoring institutions, and possibly data archaeology.

  • 33.
    Bergelo, Maria
    SMHI.
    Havsvattenståndets påverkan längs Sveriges kust - enkätsvar från kommuner, räddningstjänst, länsstyrelser och hamnar2011Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    This report describes and compiles the responses from a survey on the impact of sea level along the coast of Sweden. The questionnaire was distributed in September 2009 by the oceanographic warning service at SMHI. It was sent to municipalities, county administrative boards, ports and rescue services situated along the coast. The responses provided an information-rich knowledge-base of areas along the coast that are sensitive to variations in sea level. The knowledge database will be a living document to support the oceanographic warning service at SMHI. Continuous use and update of the database will provide better warnings and better information on specific warning situations. In the report, examples of answers from the questionnaire illustrate what one would expect of the collected material. At the end of the report the original survey form is presented along with a summary of the main information from the questionnaire responses provided by each county.

  • 34.
    Bergstrand, Eriling
    et al.
    SMHI.
    Tobiasson, Stefan
    SMHI.
    Samordnade kustvattenkontrollen i Östergötland 19881989Report (Other academic)
  • 35.
    Bergstrand, Erland
    SMHI.
    Recipientkontroll vid Breviksnäs fiskodling 19861986Report (Other academic)
  • 36.
    Bergstrand, Erland
    SMHI.
    Östergötlands skärgård - Vattenmiljön1987Report (Other academic)
  • 37.
    Brandt, Maja
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Edler, Lars
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Andersson, Lars
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Översvämningar längs Oder och Wisla sommaren 1997 samt effekterna i Östersjön1998Report (Other academic)
  • 38.
    Broman, Barry
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Oceanografiska stationsnät: Svenskt Vattenarkiv1986Report (Other academic)
  • 39.
    Broman, Barry
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Uppföljning av sjövärmepump i Lilla Värtan1986Report (Other academic)
  • 40.
    Broman, Barry
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Peterson, Carsten
    SMHI.
    Spridningsundersökningar i yttre fjärden Piteå1985Report (Other academic)
  • 41.
    Cato, Ingemar
    et al.
    Geological Survey of Sweden (SGU),.
    Håkansson, Bertil
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Hallberg, Ola
    Geological Survey of Sweden (SGU),.
    Kjellin, Bernt
    Geological Survey of Sweden (SGU),.
    Andersson, Pia
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Erlandsson, Cecilia
    Geological Survey of Sweden (SGU),.
    Axe, Philip
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    A new approach to state the areas of oxygen deficits in the Baltic Sea2008Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    Sediment and near bottom water oxygen data was evaluated to look for correspondence in anoxic conditions. The SGU and SMHI monitoring data showed high correlation, although the actual data tested proved to be few, coincidence in space was promising. The conclusion drawn from the evaluation is that anoxic postglacial sediments were generally overlaid by near bottom anoxic waters. Hence, it is suggested that the spatial distribution of postglacial clays in the sea-bottom surface can be used, together with near bottom waters oxygen data, to improve spatial distribution in mapping oxygen deficits.Time series of oxygen deficit volume and area was calculated from near bottom data from several sub basins in the southern and central Baltic Proper. In general, hypoxic and anoxic water conditions increased over time but perturbations of improved oxygen conditions linked to major inflow events occurs especially in the Bornholm, Eastern and Western Gotland Basins.The high spatial variability of the postglacial sediments in the Western Gotland Basin compared to other basins indicates that it is indeed sensitive to the area coverage of anoxic waters. In addition, the relatively weak stratification and high variability over time of oxygen deficit make this basin favourable for oxygen improvement engineering methods.In coastal waters several bays along the Östergötland and Småland archipelagos should be further evaluated before selected for ecological engineering methods to improve oxygen conditions.

  • 42.
    Domnina, Anastasia
    et al.
    Atlantic Branch of P .P Shirhov Institute of Oceanology of Russian Academy of Sciences, Kalingrad, Russia).
    Chubarenko, Boris
    Atlantic Branch of P .P Shirhov Institute of Oceanology of Russian Academy of Sciences, Kalingrad, Russia).
    Discussion on the Vistula Lagoon regional development considering local consequences of climate changes: Interim report on the ECOSUPPORT BONUS+ project "Advanced modelling tool for scenarios of the Baltic Sea ECOsystem to SUPPORT decision making" and RFBR project No. 08-05-924212012Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    Information about natural and economic conditions in the Vistula lagoon together with directions of development of municipalities around the lagoon is presented in the report. The review of directions of development show that all municipalities aim to develop tourism, harbours and land transport. Moreover, Polish municipalities give large attention to environmental protection. In the future the development towards these strategic directions will continue together with an increased role of environmental protection and consequences of climate changes. Assessment of tolerance of Vistula Lagoon municipalities’ developmentstrategies to climate changes have shown that directions of Polish municipalities’ development is less tolerant to consequences of climate change because of a large area disposed to possible flooding, and therefore possibly high expenses for prevention of territory flooding. The Vistula Lagoon is a subject of high anthropogenic pressure and some consequences due to climate changes were discussed. Obviously, due to different economic experience, economic systems and future plans the pressure will not be equal in Polish and Russian parts of the lagoon.Complex measures on modernization of monitoring climate changes and adaptation as well as strong cooperation between all municipalities around the Vistula Lagoon are essential.

  • 43.
    Edman, Anna
    et al.
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Sahlberg, Jörgen
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Hjerdt, Niclas
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Marmefelt, Eleonor
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Lundholm, Karen
    SMHI.
    HOME Vatten i Bottenvikens vattendistrikt: Integrerat modellsystem för vattenkvalitetsberäkningar2008Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [sv]

    SMHI har utvecklat ett interaktivt modellsystem för vattenkvalitetberäkningar i mark, sjöar, vattendrag och kustvatten, HOME Vatten. I detta uppdrag har HOME Vatten implementerats i Bottenhavets vattendistrikt, dvs. i Västerbotten, Jämtland, Västernorrland, Dalarna, Gävleborg och Uppsala län. De ingående modellerna i HOME Vatten är HBV-NP (PLC5-uppsättningen) modellen för mark, sjöar och vattendrag samt Kustzonsmodellen för kustvattnen. Atmosfärsdepositionen både på land och i kustområdet beräknas av den atmosfärskemiska MATCH modellen.HOME Vatten har utvecklats för att vara ett verktyg i svensk vattenförvaltning med speciellt fokus på EUs ramdirektiv för vatten.Modelluppsättningarna i Västerbotten, Västernorrland och Gävleborg läns kustvatten har validerats mot tillgängliga mätdata, och visar en god överrensstämmelse med data.

  • 44.
    Eilola, Kari
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    On the dynamics of organic nutrients, nitrogen and phosphorus, in the Baltic Sea2009Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    In this report we study the dynamics of organic nutrients, nitrogen and phosphorus, in the Baltic Sea. The results indicate that much of the characteristics of the surface layer dynamics of organic nutrients can be described by the Redfield ratio especially in the Baltic proper. There is however deviations from the Redfield ratio that are discussed and needs to be further investigated. The seasonal variations at all investigated stations indicate that the increase and decrease of the organic phosphorus and nitrogen concentrations in spring and autumn takes place with stoichiometric values different from the Redfield ratio. It is also found that organic phosphorus concentrations start to decrease earlier in summer than organic nitrogen that may continue to increase during summer and early autumn. There is a clear trend with decreasing DIN:DIP ratios in late winter at the Gotland Deep during the period 1995-2008 while there is an improved correlation of the Redfield model during the later part of the period when we have extremely low DIN:DIP ratios. Also the results from the Bothnian bay show that the variability of organic matter is fairly well described by the Redfield model despite the extremely high late winter N:P ratios observed in this region. Hence, the seasonal variability of organic matter seems to be rather independent of the ratio of inorganic nutrients. The variability of the inorganic N to P ratios in late winter and early spring across the Baltic Sea is much larger than seen from the variability of the organic matter. This suggests that other sources than DIN and DIP as sources for new nutrients in spring are used. This is true both in the Baltic proper, where an additional nitrogen source for organic matter production in spring is needed besides inorganic nitrogen, and in the Bothnian Bay, where an additional phosphorus source is needed. Nitrogen fixation by cyanobacteria that grow later in the summer in the southern Baltic Sea can not explain the additional nitrogen source needed in early spring. Future model experiments may reveal more information about the dynamics of organic matter in the Baltic Sea.

  • 45.
    Eilola, Kari
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Almroth-Rosell, Elin
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Edman, Moa
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Eremina, Tatjana 
    Russian State Hydrometeorological University, Sankt-Petersburg, Russia.
    Larsen, Janus
    Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark.
    Janas, Urszula 
    Institute of Oceanography, Gdansk University, Poland.
    Timmermann, Karen 
    Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark.
    Tedesco, Letizia 
    Finnish Environment Institute, Helsinki, Finland.
    Voloshchuk, Ekaterina 
    Russian State Hydrometeorological University, Sankt-Petersburg, Russia.
    Model set-up at COCOA study sites2015Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    COCOA will investigate physical, biogeochemical and biological processes in a combined and coordinated fashion to improve the understanding of the interaction of these processes on the removal of nutrients along the land-sea interface. The results from the project will be used to estimate nutrient retention capacity in the coastal zone of the entire Baltic Sea coast. An ensemble of biogeochemical models will be used in combination with field studies at seven different coastal study sites around the Baltic Sea. The present report is a deliverable of COCOA work package 5 (WP5). Within the objective of WP5 process understanding and process descriptions will be improved in state-of-the-art biogeochemical models of the Baltic Sea coastal zone. This report presents brief information about the models available for the COCOA project and defines the needed input to the models that will be set-up at several learning sites. The aim is to perform ensemble modelling at several sites, using at least two different models at each site. A pilot study to estimate nutrient retention capacity in the Stockholm Archipelago with the existing Swedish model system is ongoing and first results are presented and the concept of nutrient retention is briefly discussed. The existing models for different learning sites presented in the report are; 1) The Swedish model system SCM (Öre river estuary and the Stockholm archipelago) - A multi-box-model approach 2) The Danish model system FLEXSEM (Roskilde fjord) - A combined box-model and 3-D model approach 3) The Finnish model system ESIM-BFMSI (Tvärminne Archipelago) - A 1D box-model approach 4) The Polish model system M3D UG/ProDeMo (Puck Bay) - A 3-D model approach. Operational model. 5) The Lithuanian model system SYFEM/AQUABC (Curonian Lagoon) - A combined box-model and 3-D model approach 6) The Swedish open Baltic model system RCO-SCOBI (for the open Baltic Sea and the Gulf of Gdansk/Vistula). - A 3-D model approach In addition a biogeochemical model (Boudreau, 1996) for the Gulf of Finland (Russian State Hydrometeorological University model) is used to study the quantitative effect of Marenzelleria on the Gulf of Finland ecosystem. Process studies at selected sites will be performed with a reactive transport model developed at Utrecht University. Focus will be on the role of iron and phosphorus cycling. Process studies with the Danish model system will support the development of new parameterizations of nutrient fluxes taking benthic habitat into account. The new parameterizations of the nutrient fluxes will in addition also be implemented into SCM and the models will be used to estimate nutrient fluxes, retention times and the filter capacity of the coastal zones. The In Kind contributions from previously (in the literature) well described open Baltic Sea models RCO-SCOBI, BALTSEM, ERGOM and SPBEM that will be used for the description of open sea conditions are also briefly mentioned in the report with references to the relevant literature. 6) The Swedish open Baltic model system RCO-SCOBI (for the open Baltic Sea and the Gulf of Gdansk/Vistula). - A 3-D model approach In addition a biogeochemical model (Boudreau, 1996) for the Gulf of Finland (Russian State Hydrometeorological University model) is used to study the quantitative effect of Marenzelleria on the Gulf of Finland ecosystem. Process studies at selected sites will be performed with a reactive transport model developed at Utrecht University. Focus will be on the role of iron and phosphorus cycling. Process studies with the Danish model system will support the development of new parameterizations of nutrient fluxes taking benthic habitat into account. The new parameterizations of the nutrient fluxes will in addition also be implemented into SCM and the models will be used to estimate nutrient fluxes, retention times and the filter capacity of the coastal zones. The In Kind contributions from previously (in the literature) well described open Baltic Sea models RCO-SCOBI, BALTSEM, ERGOM and SPBEM that will be used for the description of open sea conditions are also briefly mentioned in the report with references to the relevant literature.

  • 46.
    Eilola, Kari
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Gustafson, B.G.
    Baltic Nest Institute, Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Sweden.
    Hordoir, Robinson
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Höglund, Anders
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Kuznetsov, I.
    Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany.
    Meier, Markus
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Savchuk, O.P.
    Baltic Nest Institute, Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Sweden.
    Quality assessment of state-of-the-art coupled physical-biogeochemical models in hind cast simulations 1970-20052010Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    The objectives of the project ECOSUPPORT (Advanced modeling tool for scenarios of the Baltic Sea ECOsystem to SUPPORT decision making) are to calculate the combined effects of changing climate and changing human activity (e.g. changing nutrient loads) on the Baltic Sea ecosystem. Three state-of-the-art coupled physical-biogeochemical models (BALTSEM, ERGOM, and RCO-SCOBI) are used to calculate changing concentrations of nitrate, ammonium, phosphate, diatoms, flagellates, cyanobacteria, zooplankton, detritus, and oxygen in the Baltic Sea. The models are structurally different in that ERGOM and RCO-SCOBI are 3D circulation models with uniform high horizontal resolution while BALTSEM resolves the Baltic Sea spatially in 13 sub-basins. This report summarises first results of the quality assessment and model intercomparison within ECOSUPPORT. Results from hindcast simulations are compared with observations for the period 1970-2005. We found that all three investigated models are able to reproduce the observed variability of biogeochemical cycles well. Uncertainties are primarily related to differences in the bioavailable fractions of nutrient loadings from land and parameterizations of key processes like sediment fluxes that are presently not well known. Avsikten med projektet ECOSUPPORT (Advanced modeling tool for scenarios of the Baltic Sea ECOsystem to SUPPORT decision making) är att undersöka hur klimatförändringar tillsammans med mänsklig aktivitet (förändrad närsaltstillförsel) påverkar Östersjöns ekosystem. Tre kopplade fysiska-biogeokemiska modeller (BALTSEM, ERGOM, and RCO-SCOBI) används för att beräkna hur koncentrationer av nitrat, ammonium, fosfat, diatoméer, flagellater, cyanobakterier, djurplankton, detritus och löst syrgas i Östersjön förändras. Modellerna skiljer sig strukturellt åt genom att ERGOM och RCO-SCOBI är tredimensionella modeller med hög horisontell upplösning medan BALTSEM delar upp östersjön rumsligt i 13 delbassänger. Denna rapport sammanfattar resultaten från en första modelljämförelse och kvalitetsbedömning där modellresultat för tidsperioden 1970-2005 jämförs med observationer från samma period. Alla tre modellerna visar att de kan återskapa den observerade biogeokemiska variabiliteten väl. Osäkerheter är huvudsakligen relaterade till skillnader i andelen av näringstillförseln från land som antas vara biologiskt tillgänglig och till beskrivningarna av viktiga processer, som t.ex. flöden från sedimenten, där kunskapen för närvarande är bristfällig.

  • 47.
    Eilola, Kari
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Hansen, J.
    National Environmental Research Institute, Aarhus University, Denmark.
    Meier, Markus
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Myrberg, K.
    Finnish Environment Institute, Finland Nordic.
    Ryabchenko, V.A.
    St. Petersburg Branch, P.P.Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, Russia.
    Skogen, Morten
    Institute of Marine Research, Norway.
    Eutrophication Status Report of the North Sea, Skagerrak, Kattegat and the Baltic Sea: A model study Years 2001-20052011Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    This joint status report for the North Sea, Skagerrak, Kattegat and the Baltic Sea area is carried out by SMHI Sweden, IMR Norway, NERI Denmark, SPBIO Russia, and SYKE Finland as a part of the project “A Baltic and NORth sea Model eutrophication Assessment in a future cLimate” (ABNORMAL), supported by the Nordic Council of Ministers’ Sea and Air Group (NMR-HLG). The previous NMR-HLG projects NO COMMENTS and BANSAI focused on the establishment and main-tenance of operational models and the use of these to develop methods for assessing the eutrophication status. Within ABNORMAL the issues are brought forward with a focus also on the use of ecological models for an assessment of marine eutrophication in a future climate. The main finding of this study is the proposed way of combining observations and results from an ensemble of ecological models to make an assessment of the eutrophication status in present climate for five different years (2001-2005). Threshold values and methodology from the Oslo and Paris Commissions (OSPAR) and the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) are used and possible improvements of the methods are briefly discussed. The assessment of eutrophication status according to the integration of the categorized assessment parameters indicates that the Kattegat, the Danish Straits, the Gulf of Finland, the Gotland Basin as well as main parts of the Arkona Basin, the Bornholm Basin, and the Baltic proper may be classified as problem areas. The main part of the North Sea and also the Skagerrak are non-problem areas while the main parts of the Gulf of Bothnia, Gulf of Riga and the entire southeastern continental coast of the North Sea may be classified as potential problem areas.

  • 48.
    Eilola, Kari
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Hansen, J.L.S:
    Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University, Denmark.
    Meier, Markus
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Molchanov, M.S.
    St. Petersburg Branch, P.P. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, Russia.
    Ryabchenko, V.A.
    St. Petersburg Branch, P.P. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, Russia.
    Skogen, Morten
    Institute of Marine Research, Norway.
    Eutrophication Status Report of the North Sea, Skagerrak, Kattegat and the Baltic Sea: A model study. Present and future climate2013Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    An ensemble of models has been used to assess eutrophication in the North Sea and Baltic Sea in the present and the future climate, using a method suggested in Almroth and Skogen (2010). In the control run, the assessment of eutrophication status according to the integration of the categorized assessment parameters indicates that the Kattegat, the Danish Straits, the Gulf of Finland, the Gotland Basin as well as main parts of the Arkona Basin, the Bornholm Basin, and the Baltic proper may be classified as problem areas. The main part of the North Sea and also the Skagerrak are non-problem areas while the main parts of the Gulf of Bothnia, Gulf of Riga and the entire southeastern continental coast of the North Sea may be classified as potential problem areas (Fig. 16).The temperature increase by itself will worsen the oxygen condition throughout the area and on top of this; elevated nutrient levels in the whole Baltic will amplify this effect due to elevated primary production. Therefore declining oxygen condition and increasing phytoplankton biomasses will be the main problem causing the areas to be classified as problem areas. In the Western Gotland Basin low oxygen seems to be the sole reason for this classification. In the North Sea, the classification as potential problem areas are due to high nitrate and N:P ratio. In the future climate scenarios most of the previous potential problem areas in the Baltic Sea have become problem areas, except for the Bothnian Bay where the situation remain fairly unchanged. Also in the North Sea there seems to be no obvious changes in the projected future climate. Comparing the ECHAM5 driven changes to simulations using the HadCM3 forcing show that; all changes except the surface layer winterDIN in the future climate have the same sign and that; the overall eutrophication status assessment is robust and insensitive to the choice of future scenario.

  • 49.
    Eilola, Kari
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Meier, Markus
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Almroth, Elin
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Höglund, Anders
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Transports and budgets of oxygen and phosphorus in the Baltic sea2008Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    In this report we present budgets of oxygen and phosphorus for the deeper layers of the Baltic proper. The budgets give calculations of sedimentation, erosion and horizontal and vertical transports based on model simulations. The fluxes of oxygen and phosphorus as well as trends in contents have been computed.

  • 50.
    Eilola, Kari
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Sahlberg, Jörgen
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Model assessment of the predicted environmental consequences for OSPAR problem areas following nutrient reductions2009Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    The Swedish Coastal and Ocean Biogeochemical model (SCOBI) is used for the assessment of eutrophication status in the Skagerrak and the Kattegat, and of the following long-term effects on the ecosystem for the 50% nutrient reduction target (PARCOM Recommendation 88/2). Model validation and the final reporting of the results in accordance with the OSPAR comprehensive procedure are presented.The model is validated by a comparison of a long time series (1985-2002) of the model results to data from a number of stations representing different parts of the model domain. A quantitative examination of the model performance is done by a comparison between the seasonal and annual averages of the model results and in-situ data. The model response to nutrient reductions shows that reducing nutrient inputs from land have the largest effects on the nitrate concentrations in the Kattegat and along the Swedish coast in the Skagerrak. The effects on phosphate concentrations are relatively small. The largest effect obtained from a 50% reduction of anthropogenic nitrogen and phosphorus from the runoff in one country alone is obtained for Sweden. This model experiment reduces the nitrate and chlorophyll concentrations in the Swedish coastal waters by 5%-10% and 3%-6%, respectively. The annual net production is reduced by 2%-4% and changes in sedimentation are less than 1%. The largest reduction is found in the Kattegat.The combined effect from a 50% reduction of anthropogenic nutrient supplies from land and an anticipated realistic reduction of nutrient concentrations in the Baltic Sea and the North Sea reduces the nitrate and phosphate concentrations in the Kattegat and the Swedish parts of the Skagerrak coastal area by 20%-30%. The average chlorophyll concentrations are reduced by 8%-11%. The annual net production and the sedimentation are reduced by 12%-20% and 5%-12%, respectively.

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