Change search
Refine search result
567891011 351 - 400 of 2294
CiteExportLink to result list
Permanent link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Rows per page
  • 5
  • 10
  • 20
  • 50
  • 100
  • 250
Sort
  • Standard (Relevance)
  • Author A-Ö
  • Author Ö-A
  • Title A-Ö
  • Title Ö-A
  • Publication type A-Ö
  • Publication type Ö-A
  • Issued (Oldest first)
  • Issued (Newest first)
  • Created (Oldest first)
  • Created (Newest first)
  • Last updated (Oldest first)
  • Last updated (Newest first)
  • Disputation date (earliest first)
  • Disputation date (latest first)
  • Standard (Relevance)
  • Author A-Ö
  • Author Ö-A
  • Title A-Ö
  • Title Ö-A
  • Publication type A-Ö
  • Publication type Ö-A
  • Issued (Oldest first)
  • Issued (Newest first)
  • Created (Oldest first)
  • Created (Newest first)
  • Last updated (Oldest first)
  • Last updated (Newest first)
  • Disputation date (earliest first)
  • Disputation date (latest first)
Select
The maximal number of hits you can export is 250. When you want to export more records please use the Create feeds function.
  • 351. Brooks, Ian M.
    et al.
    Tjernstrom, Michael
    Persson, P. Ola G.
    Shupe, Matthew D.
    Atkinson, Rebecca A.
    Canut, Guylaine
    Birch, Cathryn E.
    Mauritsen, Thorsten
    Sedlar, Joseph
    SMHI, Research Department, Atmospheric remote sensing.
    Brooks, Barbara J.
    The Turbulent Structure of the Arctic Summer Boundary Layer During The Arctic Summer Cloud-Ocean Study2017In: Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, ISSN 2169-897X, E-ISSN 2169-8996, Vol. 122, no 18, p. 9685-9704Article in journal (Refereed)
  • 352. Browny, Nicola Jane
    et al.
    Nilsson, Johan
    Pemberton, Per
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Arctic Ocean Freshwater Dynamics: Transient Response to Increasing River Runoff and Precipitation2019In: Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, ISSN 2169-9275, E-ISSN 2169-9291, Vol. 124, no 7, p. 5205-5219Article in journal (Refereed)
    Download full text (pdf)
    fulltext
  • 353. Bruen, M.
    et al.
    Krahe, P.
    Zappa, M.
    Olsson, Jonas
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    Vehvilainen, B.
    Kok, K.
    Daamen, K.
    Visualizing flood forecasting uncertainty: some current European EPS platforms-COST731 working group 32010In: Atmospheric Science Letters, ISSN 1530-261X, E-ISSN 1530-261X, Vol. 11, no 2, p. 92-99Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Cooperation in Science and Technology (COST) funding allows European scientists to establish international links, communicate their work to colleagues, and promote international research cooperation. COST731 was established to study the propagation of uncertainty from hydrometeorological observations through meteorological and hydrological models to the final flood forecast. Our focus is on how information about uncertainty is presented to the end user and how it is used. COST731 has assembled a number of demonstrations/case studies that illustrate a variety of practical approaches and these are presented here. While there is yet no consensus on how such information is presented, many end users do find it useful. Copyright (C) 2010 Royal Meteorological Society

  • 354. Buizza, Roberto
    et al.
    Poli, Paul
    Rixen, Michel
    Alonso-Balmaseda, Magdalena
    Bosilovich, Michael G.
    Bronnimann, Stefan
    Compo, Gilbert P.
    Dee, Dick P.
    Desiato, Franco
    Doutriaux-Boucher, Marie
    Fujiwara, Masatomo
    Kaiser-Weiss, Andrea K.
    Kobayashi, Shinya
    Liu, Zhiquan
    Masina, Simona
    Mathieu, Pierre-Philippe
    Rayner, Nick
    Richter, Carolin
    Seneviratne, Sonia I.
    Simmons, Adrian J.
    Thepaut, Jean-Noel
    Auger, Jeffrey D.
    Bechtold, Michel
    Berntell, Ellen
    Dong, Bo
    Kozubek, Michal
    Sharif, Khaled
    Thomas, Christopher
    Schimanke, Semjon
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Storto, Andrea
    Tuma, Matthias
    Valisuo, Ilona
    Vaselali, Alireza
    ADVANCING GLOBAL AND REGIONAL REANALYSES2018In: Bulletin of The American Meteorological Society - (BAMS), ISSN 0003-0007, E-ISSN 1520-0477, Vol. 99, no 8, p. ES139-ES144Article in journal (Refereed)
    Download full text (pdf)
    fulltext
  • 355. Bunse, Carina
    et al.
    Israelsson, Stina
    Baltar, Federico
    Bertos-Fortis, Mireia
    Fridolfsson, Emil
    Legrand, Catherine
    Lindehoff, Elin
    Lindh, Markus
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Martinez-Garcia, Sandra
    Pinhassi, Jarone
    High Frequency Multi-Year Variability in Baltic Sea Microbial Plankton Stocks and Activities2019In: Frontiers in Microbiology, ISSN 1664-302X, E-ISSN 1664-302X, Vol. 9, article id 3296Article in journal (Refereed)
    Download full text (pdf)
    fulltext
  • 356. Burchard, Hans
    et al.
    Craig, Peter D.
    Gemmrich, Johannes R.
    van Haren, Hans
    Mathieu, Pierre-Philippe
    Meier, Markus
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Smith, W. Alex M. Nimmo
    Prandke, Hartmut
    Rippeth, Tom P.
    Skyllingstad, Eric D.
    Smyth, William D.
    Welsh, David J. S.
    Wijesekera, Hemantha W.
    Observational and numerical modeling methods for quantifying coastal ocean turbulence and mixing2008In: Progress in Oceanography, ISSN 0079-6611, E-ISSN 1873-4472, Vol. 76, no 4, p. 399-442Article, review/survey (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    In this review paper, state-of-the-art observational and numerical modeling methods for small scale turbulence and mixing with applications to coastal oceans are presented in one context. Unresolved dynamics and remaining problems of field observations and numerical simulations are reviewed on the basis of the approach that modern process-oriented studies should be based on both observations and models. First of all, the basic dynamics of surface and bottom boundary layers as well as intermediate stratified regimes including the interaction of turbulence and internal waves are briefly discussed. Then, an overview is given on just established or recently emerging mechanical, acoustic and optical observational techniques. Microstructure shear probes although developed already in the 1970s have only recently become reliable commercial products. Specifically under surface waves turbulence measurements are difficult due to the necessary decomposition of waves and turbulence. The methods to apply Acoustic Doppler Current Profilers (ADCPs) for estimations of Reynolds stresses, turbulence kinetic energy and dissipation rates are under further development. Finally, applications of well-established turbulence resolving particle image velocimetry (PIV) to the dynamics of the bottom boundary layer are presented. As counterpart to the field methods the state-of-the-art in numerical modeling in coastal seas is presented. This includes the application of the Large Eddy Simulation (LES) method to shallow water Langmuir Circulation (LC) and to stratified flow over a topographic obstacle. Furthermore, statistical turbulence closure methods as well as empirical turbulence parameterizations and their applicability to coastal ocean turbulence and mixing are discussed. Specific problems related to the combined wave-current bottom boundary layer are discussed. Finally, two coastal modeling sensitivity studies are presented as applications, a two-dimensional study of upwelling and downwelling and a three-dimensional study for a marginal sea scenario (Baltic Sea). It is concluded that the discussed methods need further refinements specifically to account for the complex dynamics associated with the presence of surface and internal waves. (c) 2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

  • 357. Burton, S. P.
    et al.
    Hair, J. W.
    Kahnert, Michael
    SMHI, Research Department, Air quality.
    Ferrare, R. A.
    Hostetler, C. A.
    Cook, A. L.
    Harper, D. B.
    Berkoff, T. A.
    Seaman, S. T.
    Collins, J. E.
    Fenn, M. A.
    Rogers, R. R.
    Observations of the spectral dependence of linear particle depolarization ratio of aerosols using NASA Langley airborne High Spectral Resolution Lidar2015In: Atmospheric Chemistry And Physics, ISSN 1680-7316, E-ISSN 1680-7324, Vol. 15, no 23, p. 13453-13473Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Linear particle depolarization ratio is presented for three case studies from the NASA Langley airborne High Spectral Resolution Lidar-2 (HSRL-2). Particle depolarization ratio from lidar is an indicator of non-spherical particles and is sensitive to the fraction of non-spherical particles and their size. The HSRL-2 instrument measures depolarization at three wavelengths: 355, 532, and 1064 nm. The three measurement cases presented here include two cases of dust-dominated aerosol and one case of smoke aerosol. These cases have partial analogs in earlier HSRL-1 depolarization measurements at 532 and 1064 nm and in literature, but the availability of three wavelengths gives additional insight into different scenarios for non-spherical particles in the atmosphere. A case of transported Saharan dust has a spectral dependence with a peak of 0.30 at 532 nm with smaller particle depolarization ratios of 0.27 and 0.25 at 1064 and 355 nm, respectively. A case of aerosol containing locally generated wind-blown North American dust has a maximum of 0.38 at 1064 nm, decreasing to 0.37 and 0.24 at 532 and 355 nm, respectively. The cause of the maximum at 1064 nm is inferred to be very large particles that have not settled out of the dust layer. The smoke layer has the opposite spectral dependence, with the peak of 0.24 at 355 nm, decreasing to 0.09 and 0.02 at 532 and 1064 nm, respectively. The depolarization in the smoke case may be explained by the presence of coated soot aggregates. We note that in these specific case studies, the linear particle depolarization ratio for smoke and dust-dominated aerosol are more similar at 355 nm than at 532 nm, having possible implications for using the particle depolarization ratio at a single wavelength for aerosol typing.

    Download full text (pdf)
    fulltext
  • 358.
    Bäck, Örjan
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Wenzer, Magnus
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Mapping winter nutrient concentrations in the OSPAR maritime area using Diva2015Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    The Diva software (Data Interpolating Variational Analysis) software was used to create interpolated gridded fields for nutrient concentrations in the OSPAR maritime area to support the ongoing process to develop common indicators for the MSFD (Marine Strategy Framework Directive). Data were downloaded from the ICES database and maps created for DIN, DIP and silicate for the winter months (December – February) covering the period 2006-2013. Lack of data in areas I and V shifted focus to regions II, III and IV. The most prominent results from the analysis are the high values of nutrient concentrations found along the southern shore of the North Sea. The lack of data both at a large scale in OSPAR areas I and V and at a smaller scale near the coast, in particular close to river outlets, is the biggest source of error in the Diva analyses. It is evident that there is a need to increase the data coverage for the future work with indicators and for assessment purposes.

    Download full text (pdf)
    FULLTEXT01
  • 359.
    Bärring, Lars
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Berlin, Mats
    Andersson Gull, Bengt
    Tailored climate indices for climate-proofing operational forestry applications in Sweden and Finland2017In: International Journal of Climatology, ISSN 0899-8418, E-ISSN 1097-0088, Vol. 37, no 1, p. 123-142Article in journal (Refereed)
  • 360.
    Bärring, Lars
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Christensen, Jens
    Déqué, Michel
    Giorgi, Filippo
    Jones, Colin
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Jones, Richard
    Laprise, René
    Rummukainen, Markku
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    von Storch, Hans
    Synthesis of Workshop2005In: Extended abstracts of a WMO/WCRP-sponsored Regional-Scale Climate Modelling Workshop : high-resolution climate modelling : assessment, added value and applications, Lund, Sweden, 29 March-2 April 2004 / [ed] Bärring, Lars; René, Laprise, Department of Physical Geography & Ecosystem Analysis, Lund University, Sweden , 2005, p. 18-25Conference paper (Other academic)
  • 361.
    Bärring, Lars
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Fortuniak, Krzysztof
    Multi-indices analysis of southern Scandinavian storminess 1780-2005 and links to interdecadal variations in the NW Europe-North Sea region2009In: International Journal of Climatology, ISSN 0899-8418, E-ISSN 1097-0088, Vol. 29, no 3, p. 373-384Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Extra-tropical cyclone frequency and intensity are Currently under intense scrutiny because of the destruction recent windstorms have brought to Europe, and because they are a major meridional heat transport mechanism that may respond to differential latitudinal warming trends. Several studies using reanalysis data covering the second half of the 20th century Suggest increasing storm intensity in the northeastern Atlantic and European sector. Fewer analyses cover a longer time period but show different trends or point towards the dominance of interdecadal variability instead of ally clear trends. Hence, it is relevant to analyse cyclone variability over as long a period as possible. In this Study, we analyse interdecadal variability in cyclone activity over northwestern Europe back to AD 1780 by combining information from eight storminess indices applied in all Eulerian framework. These indices, including four new approaches towards gauging cyclone activity, use the series of thrice-daily sea level pressure observations at Lund and Stockholm. We find pronounced interdecadal variability in cyclonic activity but no significant overall consistent long-term trend. The major interdecadal-scale variability common to all indices is in good agreement with geostrophic wind reconstructions for NE Atlantic and NW Europe, and with variations in the North Atlantic oscillation (NAO). Our results show that the reanalysis studies cover a time period chiefly coinciding with a marked, but not exceptional in our 225-year perspective, positive variation in the regional cyclone activity that has more recently reversed. Because of the interdecadal variations, a near-centennial time perspective is needed when analysing variations in extra-tropical cyclone activity and the associated weather conditions over northwestern Europe. Copyright (C) 2009 Royal Meteorological Society

  • 362.
    Bärring, Lars
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Holt, Tom
    Linderson, Maj-Lena
    Radziejewski, Madej
    Moriondo, Marco
    Palutikof, Jean P.
    Defining dry/wet spells for point observations, observed area averages, and regional climate model gridboxes in Europe2006In: Climate Research (CR), ISSN 0936-577X, E-ISSN 1616-1572, Vol. 31, no 1, p. 35-49Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    A new method for optimising threshold values of dry/wet spells is evaluated. A set of indices is used to find the best threshold giving good correspondence between the frequency of dry/wet spells in Hadley Centre regional model (HadRM3) output, reference observations with predetermined thresholds, and area-averaged observations. The analyses focus on selected model gridboxes in 3 different European climate regimes (Sweden, UK, Italy), where station data are available from several locations. In addition, a pan-European analysis using the European Climate Assessment (ECA) dataset is carried out. Generally, there is good agreement between point observations and the corresponding area average using the common thresholds of 0.1 or 1.0 mm with observational data. Applying the optimal thresholds on the model output is important, as it typically results in substantially better agreement between the simulated and observed series of dry/wet days. The fitted optimal pan-European dry/wet threshold is (1) 0.47 or 0.15 mm, depending on model version, for the observed point data threshold of 0.1 mm, and (2) 1.2 or 0.56 mm, depending on model version, for the threshold of 1.0 mm.

  • 363.
    Bärring, Lars
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Jonsson, P
    Achberger, C
    Ekstrom, M
    Alexandersson, Hans
    SMHI.
    The Lund instrumental record of meteorological observations: Reconstruction of monthly sea-level pressure 1780-19971999In: International Journal of Climatology, ISSN 0899-8418, E-ISSN 1097-0088, Vol. 19, no 13, p. 1427-1443Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    The reconstructed surface air pressure series from Lund, southern Sweden, covers the period 1780-1997 and comprises mon than 234000 valid observations (three observations per day), i.e. > 98% of all possible observation occasions. For the Early Instrumental Period (EIP; 1780-1860) data were digitised from the original records. For most of the Modern Instrumental Period (MIP; 1861-) a series was compiled from various databases containing instrument corrected data. During EIP, the series of raw monthly means show several substantial inhomogeneities. With the aid of a detailed reconstruction of the station history, it was possible to remove almost all inhomogeneities during EIP by applying the correct instrument corrections (for barometer temperature, to standard gravity and to mean sea-level pressure) to the series of original observations. In particular, corrections for the temperature and altitude of the barometer eliminated several inhomogeneities. A prerequisite for applying these corrections is the availability of high-resolution data (actual raw observations or daily averages). Further homogenisation was attained by intercomparison of the monthly mean pressure with acknowledged homogeneous series (mainly the UKMO monthly grid, station records from Copenhagen and Edinburgh). Statistical tests of homogeneity showed that no substantial inhomogeneities remain in the final version. The modern part of the final monthly pressure series largely follows that of the southern Baltic Sea region. Furthermore, it shows relatively high pressure during spring (MAM) in the period 1780-1820, which was paralleled by severe wind erosion in southern Scandinavia during this time. Relatively high pressure throughout the year is also notable during a period of precipitation deficit in 1970s. Copyright (C) 1999 Royal Meteorological Society.

  • 364.
    Bärring, Lars
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Persson, Gunn
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Kjellström, Erik
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Samuelsson, Patrick
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Evaluation of climate extremes in transient runs with the new Rossby Centre regional atmospheric model.2006In: Abstracts of the contributions of the EGU General Assembly 2006, EGU06-A-10110, 2006Conference paper (Other academic)
  • 365.
    Bärring, Lars
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Strandberg, Gustav
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Does the projected pathway to global warming targets matter?2018In: Environmental Research Letters, ISSN 1748-9326, E-ISSN 1748-9326, Vol. 13, no 2, article id 024029Article in journal (Refereed)
    Download full text (pdf)
    fulltext
  • 366.
    Bärring, Lars
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    von Storch, H
    Scandinavian storminess since about 18002004In: Geophysical Research Letters, ISSN 0094-8276, E-ISSN 1944-8007, Vol. 31, no 20, article id L20202Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    We study the history of storminess in Northern Europe, as derived from local pressure observations in Lund since 1780 and Stockholm since 1820 ( Sweden). At both stations barometer readings were made three times per day, morning, midday and evening, and after about 1850 at fixed observation hours. We use four common storminess indices: annual number of deep lows ( p < 980 hPa), the annual 95th and 99th percentile of pressure changes between two observations, and the annual number of fast absolute pressure changes (\&UDelta;p\/&UDelta;t > 16 hPa/12 h). It turns out that the 1980' s - mid 1990' s were a period of enhanced storminess, mainly seen in the Stockholm record, but his period is within the natural variability of the records. Thus, there are no robust signs of any long-term trend in the storminess indices. Storminess is during the entire historical period remarkably stable, with no systematic change and little transient variability.

  • 367.
    Caian, Mihaela
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Koenigk, Torben
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Doescher, Ralf
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Devasthale, Abhay
    SMHI, Research Department, Atmospheric remote sensing.
    An interannual link between Arctic sea-ice cover and the North Atlantic Oscillation2018In: Climate Dynamics, ISSN 0930-7575, E-ISSN 1432-0894, Vol. 50, no 1-2, p. 423-441Article in journal (Refereed)
  • 368.
    Caian, Mihaela
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Koenigk, Torben
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Doescher, Ralf
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Devasthale, Abhay
    SMHI, Research Department, Atmospheric remote sensing.
    An interannual link between Arctic sea-ice cover and the North Atlantic Oscillation (vol 50, pg 423, 2017)2018In: Climate Dynamics, ISSN 0930-7575, E-ISSN 1432-0894, Vol. 50, no 1-2, p. 443-443Article in journal (Refereed)
  • 369. Campana, P. E.
    et al.
    Zhang, J.
    Yao, T.
    Andersson, Sandra
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Landelius, Tomas
    SMHI, Research Department, Atmospheric remote sensing.
    Melton, F.
    Yan, J.
    Managing agricultural drought in Sweden using a novel spatially-explicit model from the perspective of water-food-energy nexus2018In: Journal of Cleaner Production, ISSN 0959-6526, E-ISSN 1879-1786, Vol. 197, p. 1382-1393Article in journal (Refereed)
  • 370. Campana, Pietro Elia
    et al.
    Landelius, Tomas
    SMHI, Research Department, Atmospheric remote sensing.
    Andersson, Sandra
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Lundstrom, Lukas
    Nordlander, Eva
    He, Tao
    Zhang, Jie
    Stridh, Bengt
    Yan, Jinyue
    A gridded optimization model for photovoltaic applications2020In: Solar Energy, ISSN 0038-092X, E-ISSN 1471-1257, Vol. 202, p. 465-484Article in journal (Refereed)
  • 371. Cardoso Pereira, Susana
    et al.
    Marta-Almeida, Martinho
    Carvalho, Ana
    SMHI, Research Department, Air quality.
    Heat wave and cold spell changes in Iberia for a future climate scenario2017In: International Journal of Climatology, ISSN 0899-8418, E-ISSN 1097-0088Article, review/survey (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    : This study investigates the impacts of climate change scenario on summer heat waves’ (HWs) and winter cold spells’ (CSs) characteristics for 12 locations over the Iberian Peninsula (IP). These characteristics are duration, recovery factor and intensity. Two future time slices of the chosen scenario are studied, namely, the periods 2046–2065 and 2081–2100 which are compared with a reference climate for the recent-past (1986–2005). The RCP8.5 greenhouse gas emission scenario is considered. The minimum and maximum daily temperature were obtained for these periods through regional model simulations using the Weather and Research Forecast (WRF) model forced with the MPI-ESM-LR model. The model was validated against EOBS and SPAIN02 datasets. The model shows 90th/10th percentile temperature (i.e. thresholds to identify HW/CS) biases. Therefore, HW/CS numbers and properties were evaluated using the model’s respective thresholds. HW/CS numbers and characteristics were also compared between the model and EOBS derived data. Probability density functions (PDFs) of the duration, recovery factor and intensity show significant changes in the mean and variance for the summer HWs. Differences, between future and recent-past climate in the extremes are evaluated by the 95th percentile which show an increase in the duration and intensity of the HWs for the future time slices. Very few CSs were detectable in the mid-term future (2046–2065) and none in the long-term future (2080–2100), except for Barcelona. For most locations, the CS for the future are of smaller duration and intensity. The PDF of the recovery factor suggests smaller absolute differences between the minimum and maximum temperature during winter which is also confirmed by the percentile analysis. The increase in the duration and intensity of HWs is greater in the long-term future than in the mid-term future, pointing for a warmer IP with more and longer HWs towards the end of the XXI century

    Download full text (pdf)
    fulltext
  • 372.
    Carlberg, Stig
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Conservation of marine ecological quality - a current European perspective2005In: Aquatic conservation, ISSN 1052-7613, E-ISSN 1099-0755, Vol. 15, no 3, p. 211-214Article in journal (Other academic)
  • 373.
    Carlberg, Stig
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Engström, Sven
    SMHI.
    Fonselius, Stig
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Palmén, Håkan
    SMHI.
    Fyrberg, Lotta
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Yhlén, Bengt
    SMHI.
    Szaron, Jan
    SMHI.
    Program för miljökvalitetsövervakning – PMK: Utsjöprogram under 19891990Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    This report describes a project for environmental monitoring in the sea areas around Sweden, from the Kattegat to the northern part of the Bothnian Sea. SMHI carries out this project based on a contractual arrangement with the National Environment Protection Agency and the project is part of the national programme for environmental monitoring (PMK). The greater part of the results from the project described here are also reported as a national Swedish contribution to the Baltic Monitoring Programme (BMP) of the Helsinki Commission.

    The monitoring is carried out through a number of regular cruises in the Kattegat,the Sound (Öresund), the Baltic Proper and the Gulf of Bothnia. Physical, chemical and biological parameters are studied in water samples, zoobenthos is studied in sediment grab samples and samples of fish and mussels are collected for the determination of harmful substances.

    The work is entirely integrated with the regular oceanographical programme of SMHI. By this arrangement the result of the SMHI programmes is made available also for the national monitoring. Consequently, this report contains more information than is really financed by the monitoring budget.

    The autumn of 1988 was mild almost all over Sweden. The winter was very mild in the southern part of the country with moderate amounts of precipitation. Only in the northern part the precipitation was as snow to any significant  extent. During spring and summer the weather was more warm and dry than normal. The autumn of 1989 was as mild as during the previous two years and the amount of precipitation was modest. The sea ice covered very small areas; in fact the extent was the smallest since regular observations were organised.

    The temperature of the sea surface layer was higher than normal the whole year and most noticeable during winter and autumn. In the entire sea area the temperatures were 1- 2 °C above the long term mean value for the period 1968 - 1985.

    The oxygen conditions in the south eastern Kattegat once again turned into an unfavorable situation in late summer and early autumn. However, in comparison with the situation in 1988, a smaller area was affected and in general the lowest concentrations were not as low as in that year. Also in the Baltic Proper the bad oxygen situation in the deep water prevailed the whole year. No major infiow of oxygen rich water occurred to uentilate the deep basins. In the Bornholm Basin hydrogen sulphide was present under the halocline (with an extension into the Hanö Bight) almost the whole year; in the Eastern Gotland Basin hydrogen sulphide has been present in the bottom water for more than 12 years continuously and in the eastern part of the Northern Central Basin hydrogen sulphide was present the whole 1989. In the Landsort Deep hydrogen sulphide was detected only during a short period in the late summer.

    Nutrient conditions did not show any remarkable changes during 1989. During the winter period phosphate and nitrate are present in about usual concentrations, which decrease to near detection limit during the production period in the spring and early summer. In general there is an increasing trend of nitrate and phosphate in the surface waters of the Kattegat and the Baltic Proper, while the silicate in the Baltic shows a decreasing trend.

    The analyses of petroleum hydrocarbons showed roughly the same concentrations as during the previous last years. This indicates that the load of oil pollution of the Baltic and the Kattegat has not changed significantly.

    Download full text (pdf)
    fulltext
  • 374.
    Carlberg, Stig
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Engström, Sven
    SMHI.
    Fonselius, Stig
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Palmén, Håkan
    SMHI.
    Thelén, Eva-Gun
    SMHI.
    Fyrberg, Lotta
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Program för miljökvalitetsövervakning – PMK: Utsjöprogram under 19861987Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    This report describes the activities and results from 1986 within the open sea programme of the national Swedish monitoring programme, PMK. The open sea programme also forms major part at the Swedish contribution to the Baltic Monitoring Programme of the Helsinki Commission. Two regular oceanographic cruises were carried out in the Baltic and the Gulf of Bothnia and three in the Kattegat. Several other cruises were carried out, which are relevant to the programme. Standard oceanographic parameters including nutrients were analysed and various biological samples were taken including fish and mussel samples for analysis af harmful substances. In September the surface water temperature decreased unusually in the Kattegat and the Baltic showing a negative anomaly at at least 2°C. As during previous years the southern part of the Kattegat showed very low oxygen values in the bottom water during a limited period in the autumn. In other respects the oceanographic conditions in the Kattegat area were normal, whereas in the Eastern Baltic bad oxygen conditions with hydrogen sulphide prevailed in the bottom water for the nineth year. In the southern Baltic and west af Gotland hydrogen sulphide was found in the bottom water only during the first half of the year.

    Download full text (pdf)
    fulltext
  • 375.
    Carlberg, Stig
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Engström, Sven
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Fonselius, Stig
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Palmén, Håkan
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Thelén, Eva-Gun
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Fyrberg, Lotta
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Zagradkin, Danuta
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Program för miljökvalitetsövervakning – PMK: Utsjöprogram under 19871988Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    The report describes the activities and results from 1987 within the open sea programme of the national Swedish monitoring programme, PMK. The open sea programme also forms the major part of the Swedish contribution to the Baltic Monitoring Programme of the Helsinki Commission. Two regular oceanographic cruises were carried out to the Baltic, two plus one supplementary cruises to the Gulf of Bothnia, three in the Kattegat and five in the Sound. Several other cruises of relevance to PMK were also carried out. Standard oceanographic parameters including nutrients were analysed and various biological samples were taken including fish and mussel samples for analysis of harmful substances. From spring to autumn a negative temperature anomaly of 2-4°C was observed in the Kattegat and the Baltic. As in previous years the southern parts of the Kattegat showed very low oxygen values during a short period in the autumn, but the recovery was quick. Following the spring bloom the nutrient reservoir of the Baltic surface water was depleted to about 40 m until the early autumn. In the Gotland Deep the hydrogen sulphide has now resided for 10 continuous years in the deep water. During the last half of 1987 hydrogen sulphide appeared in the Bornholm Deep, extending into the Hanö Bight. Sulphide was present in the Landsort Deep for a short period.

    Download full text (pdf)
    fulltext
  • 376.
    Carlberg, Stig
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Engström, Sven
    SMHI.
    Fonselius, Stig
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Palmén, Håkan
    SMHI.
    Thelén, Eva-Gun
    SMHI.
    Fyrberg, Lotta
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Zagradkin, Danuta
    SMHI.
    Juhlin, Bo
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Szaron, Jan
    SMHI.
    Program för miljökvalitetsövervakning – PMK: Utsjöprogram under 19881989Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    The report describes the activities and results from 1988 within the open sea programme of the national Swedish monitoring programme , PMK . The open sea programme also forms the major part of the Swedish contribution to the Baltic Monitoring Programme of the Helsinki Commission. Three regular cruises were carried out in the Kattegat, five in the Sound, two in the Baltic and four in the Gulf af Bothnia. Standard oceanographic parameters including nutrients were anlysed and various biological samples were taken including fish and mussel samples fer analysis af harmful substances. Resulting from a warm winter, rich in precipitation, the sea water remained comparatively warm in most areas and in the Skagerrak even until late in the autumn. Also in 1988 the south-eastern part af the Kattegat had a period af very low oxygen concentrations in the bottom water in September-October. The area concerned was larger than before. Although a small inflow to the Baltic occurred in September nothing has changed in the oxygen conditions af the deep waters in general. In the Bornholm Deep hydrogen sulphide was present during the greater part of the year and during the summer it also was present in the Hanö Bight. In the deep water of the Gotland Deep the hydrogen sulphide has been present for 11 years and the concentrations are higher than ever. No hydrogen sulphide was present in the Landsort Deep, but the oxygen concentrations were very low. Petroleum hydrocarbons were present in low concentrations in the water, but with no difference from previous vears.

    Download full text (pdf)
    fulltext
  • 377.
    Carlberg, Stig
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Engström, Sven
    SMHI.
    Fonselius, Stig
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Palmén, Håkan
    SMHI.
    Thelén, Eva-Gun
    SMHI.
    Thorstenson, Bodil
    SMHI.
    Program för miljökvalitetsövervakning – PMK: UtsjöprogrammetRapport från verksamheten under 19851986Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    This report describes the activities and results from 1985 within the open sea programme of the national Swedish monitoring programme. The open sea programme also forms major part of the Swedish contribution to the Baltic Monitoring Programme of the Helsinki Commission. Two regular oceanographic cruises were carried out in the Baltic and the Gulf of Bothnia and three in the Kattegat. Standard oceanographic parameters including nutrients were analysed and various biological samples were taken including fish and mussel samples for analysis of harmful substances. The oceanographic conditions in the Kattegat area were normal, whereas in the Eastern Baltic bad oxygen conditions with hydrogen sulphide prevailed in the bottom water for the eighth year. In the southern Baltic and west of Gotland hydrogen sulphide was found in the bottom water only during the second half of the year. The winter concentrations of phosphate in the surface layer are still increasing east of Gotland as showed earlier. A preliminary evaluation of the petroleum hydrocarbon analyses shows that the concentrations may be decreasing as compared to during the 70-ies .

  • 378. Carlsen, Hanne Krage
    et al.
    Back, Erik
    Eneroth, Kristina
    Gislason, Thorarinn
    Holm, Mathias
    Janson, Christer
    Jensen, Steen Solvang
    Johannessen, Ane
    Kaasik, Marko
    Modig, Lars
    Segersson, David
    SMHI, Research Department, Air quality.
    Sigsgaard, Torben
    Forsberg, Bertil
    Olsson, David
    Orru, Hans
    Indicators of residential traffic exposure: Modelled NOX, traffic proximity, and self-reported exposure in RHINE III2017In: Atmospheric Environment, ISSN 1352-2310, E-ISSN 1873-2844, Vol. 167, p. 416-425Article in journal (Refereed)
  • 379.
    Carlsson, Bengt
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    Alkalinitets- och pH-förändringar i Ume-älven orsakade av minimitappning1993Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    lnfluence of regulated minimum discharge on alkalinity and pH in river Umeälven At present the Swedish State Power Board is building a hydropower plant at Klippen in river Umeälven south of lake Överurnan. The plant is intended to be in operation <luring 1994. In connection with the start the discharge will be minimized at an about 10 km long river section between the outlet from Överurnan and Klippen. This interference will lead to a decrease of the alkalinity and pH values at the river section in question. In order to reduce the consequences as far as possible, minimum releases of 2. 0 m 3 /s from 1 J une to 15 September and 0. 5 m3 /s <luring the rest of the year have been suggested. Model simulations of pH and alk:alinity have been made for the period 1984- 91. The results show that the alk:alinity decreases from the lowest annual values of 0.05 - 0.06 mekv/1 to 0.02 - 0.03 mekv/1, which corresponds to a reduction of the pH values from 6.6 – 6 .7 to 6.2 - 6.3.

    Download full text (pdf)
    fulltext
  • 380.
    Carlsson, Bengt
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    Hydrokemiska data från de svenska fältforskningsområdena1985Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [sv]

    En viktig uppgift för SMHI är att övervaka och fortlöpande geupplysningar om hydrologiska data i Sverige. I och med övertagandet1979 av ansvaret för de av NFR upprättade FältForsknings~mrådena (FFO) har även hydrokemin kommit att utgöra ennaturlig del av SMHis verksamhetsområde.Denna rapport utgör en första publicering av de hydrokemiskadata med korresponderande vattenföringsdata, som idag, 1985,finns på SMHI i FFO-arkivet. Materialet presenteras här iform av tidsdiagram samt en tabell över de analyserade variablernasmedelvärden. Ytterligare en del äldre material frånIHD-områden finns fortfarande utspritt på andra institutionermen skall så småningom läggas in i FFO-arkivet. Rapporteninnehåller också en kortfattad beskrivning av varje område.Inga försök till utvärdering har gjorts. Dock har observeratsen viss skillnad i haltnivå för bl a Cl och N0 2 från IHDperioden1965-75 (analyserade av MISU) jämfört med perioden1979-84 (analyserade av SMHI). Orsaken skall utredas. Avsiktenär att på ett överskådligt sätt redovisa vilka data, somfinns tillgängliga för forskningsändamål.

    Download full text (pdf)
    fulltext
  • 381.
    Carlsson, Bengt
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    Some facts about the Torne and Kalix River Basins. A contribution to the NEWBALTIC II workshop in Abisko June 19991999Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    The Torne and Kalix rivers rise in the uppermost north west part of Sweden and their basins are situated between approximately 65°50N and 69°N as shown in Figure 1. The size basin of the two river basins is about 58 000 km2 of which 14 500 km2 (25%) is situated in Finland and 350 km 2 (0.6%) in Norway. The remaining, 43 150km2, makes up 9.7% of the area of Sweden. Data presented in this paper originate from Swedish measurements. Finnish data of snow and evaporation from the east of the Torne River basin can be find in the FinnishHydrological Yearbook (1994), which also includes some statistics for the period 1961-90.

    The density of population is very low, about three people per square kilometre. People are mostly living in the river valleys near the coast, the towns of Haparanda, Torneo and Kalix, or in ore-mining centres like Kiruna.

    Most of the basin can be characterised as a flat forest and mire area. The mountains in the north west part compose only 7-8 % of the total drainage basin. The runoff regime is thus characterised by a flow maximum produced by the snowmelt in the forest and swamp region. The mountains are very old. They were formed during the paleozoic era 300 000 000 years ago. As can be seen in Figure 3 at least 1/3 of the basin area is situated below 200masl andalso about 1/3 above the 500m elevation line.

    Topography is further described in Figure 3.

    As can be seen from Table I, the Torne River is number two and the Kalix River number 10 in drainage area order of the Swedish rivers. Due to dominating south-west winds and orographic effects, the Abisko region has a proportionately low precipitation. The specific runoff of the Torne River is thus lower then other Swedish rivers in this part of Sweden.

    Download full text (pdf)
    fulltext
  • 382.
    Carlsson, Bengt
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    Bergström, Sten
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    The TELFLOOD project: Rainfall – Runoff Modelling and forecasting1998Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    The aim of the TELFLOOD project is to improve methods for hydrological forecasting in steep

    catchments. The hydrological modelling task of SMHI has been to improve the HBV model and to

    develop and test routines for model updating and forecasting.

    A new response routine, based on the variable contributing area concept, has been developed and

    proved to be successful in several experimental basins in Sweden, Italy and Ireland

    . The technique

    uses the contributing area in a way that is consistent with the procedure for soil moisture accounting

    and does not require further free parameters. Model improvements are significant to the standard

    HBV-96 version, in particular as concems minor floods after dry periods.

    A new updating routine, based on state corrections of the storages of the HBV model, was

    developed and tested. For some events it proved to be more efficient than the standard method

    based on input corrections.

    Download full text (pdf)
    fulltext
  • 383.
    Carlsson, Bengt
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    Bergström, Sten
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Andréasson, Johan
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Hellström, Sara-Sofia
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Framtidens översvämningsrisker2006Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    A study of the impacts of global warming on future risks for floods and inundations in Sweden has been carried out on contract from Länsförsäkringsbolagens Forskningsfond. The work focussed on River Dalälven and the big lakes Vänern, Mälaren and Hjälmaren but some nationwide analyses were carried out as well. The methodology was based on two global climate models, two assumptions about the future emissions of greenhouse gases and a regional climate model for dynamical downscaling to Swedish conditions. The regional climate scenarios are further processed by the HBV hydrological model and the resulting river runoff or water levels are treated statistically by frequency analysis. The results show that future risk exposure is changing in a different way depending on location in the country. The situation seems to be aggravated in particular in the Vänern area in southwest Sweden and along its outlet, River Göta älv. There will also be increased risks in the western parts of the Scandinavian mountains. The risks for heavy rainfalls, which may cause severe local flooding are likely to increase even though it is difficult to discern a consistent regional pattern between the models, in this respect. The study has also addressed the uncertainty in the assessments of flood risks. It is obvious that uncertainties in the global climate scenarios are responsible for a lot of the uncertainty in the end results, but there are also uncertainties inflicted by the strategy used when transferring the climate change signal from climate models to the hydrological model.

    Download full text (pdf)
    FULLTEXT01
  • 384.
    Carlsson, Bengt
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    Lindström, Göran
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    HBV-modellen och flödesprognoser2001Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [sv]
    • Olika uppdateringsmetoder för HBV-modellen har utvecklats och jämförts. Metoderna har utvärderats i simuleringsexperiment där modellkörningar med observerade data användes som meteorologisk prognos. De olika uppdateringsmetoder som testats är dels autoregressiva, dvs de bygger på en korrektion av uppmätt fel före prognosens början, dels sådana som bygger på en uppdatering av indata dvs nederbörd och temperatur och slutligen sådana där modellens tillståndsvariabler uppdateras. Resultaten visar att alla metoderna medför en förbättrad avrinningsprognos. Ingen av metoderna kan dock sägas vara den bästa vid alla tillfällen. AR-metoden gav bäst resultat vid högsta flöden, t ex i samband med snösmältning, medan uppdatering av modellens tillstånd gav något bättre resultat vid regnflöden. Om en modell skall användas för prognoser i samband med höga flöden är det viktigt att man redan vid kalibreringen tar hänsyn till detta och kalibrerar med hänsyn till just toppflöden, som annars systematiskt kommer att underskattas.
    • Effekten av en uppdatering avklingar jämförelsevis snabbt. Vid långtidsprognoser är det troligt att en kombination av nu testade metoder och uppdatering av t ex snömagasin och de faktorer som speciellt påverkar snösmältningen, dvs. temperatur och kanske t o m modellens graddagfaktor, skulle ge en bättre prognos.
    Download full text (pdf)
    fulltext
  • 385.
    Carlsson, Bengt
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    Sanner, Håkan
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Influence of river regulation on runoff to the Gulf of Bothnia: Gulf of Bothnia Year 19911994Report (Other academic)
    Download full text (pdf)
    fulltext
  • 386.
    Carlsson, Bengt
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    Sanner, Håkan
    SMHI.
    Modelling influence of river regulation on runoff to the Gulf of Bothnia1996In: Nordic Hydrology, ISSN 0029-1277, E-ISSN 1996-9694, Vol. 27, no 5, p. 337-350Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Runoff from a land area of approximately 490,000 km(2) enters the Gulf of Bothnia. This runoff is of essential importance for the flushing of the Gulf. a change in the volume of runoff effects the residence time. There are many natural as well as man made changes in the runoff, both in the form of long-term changes over many years and those occurring within one year. The most significant man made changes come from hydropower regulation. This report describes the effect on runoff from the development of the hydropower plants in Sweden and Finland by means of comparing recorded regulated runoff and simulated natural runoff. A recent time period, 1980-91, and a time period before regulation, 1925-36, were simulated. The monthly magnitudes of the redistributed flows were found to be on average 1,700 m(3)/s. The maximum redistributed monthly flow in May - June reached 5,000-6,000 m(3)/s.

  • 387.
    Carlund, Thomas
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Measurements of Solar Radiation in Sweden 1983-19982000Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    Since 1983 an automatic solar radiation network of 12 stations is operated by SMHI. At all 12 stations direct solar irradiance (Eppley NIP pyrheliometers) and global irradiance (Kipp & Zonen CMlO/CMl 1 pyranometers) are measured continuously. Together with general network information and uncertainty analyses, results of the radiation measurements during 1983 - 1998 are presented in this report.

    The resulting quality controlled database consists of yearly, monthly, daily and hourly values of direct (normal) solar and global radiation together with the diffuse sky radiation and sunshine duration, SD. Ed has been calculated from the hourly values of Eh and EK. Observed air temperature (2-m), relative humidity, wind direction and wind speed are available in the hourly radiation database, as well.

    Generally, the uncertainty of 6-minute and hourly values of direct and global radiation has been estimated to 3 % and 4 % (at 95 % confidence level), respectively. The precision of annual values has been estimated to 2 % for both quantities.

    The solar radiation climate in Sweden varies a lot, both in time and space. The dominating factors influencing the solar radiation climate are the latitudinal location and the prevailing cloud conditions.

    Download full text (pdf)
    fulltext
  • 388.
    Carlund, Thomas
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Upgrade of SMHI's meteorological radiation network 2006-2007: Effects on direct and global solar radiation2011Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    The radiation network of SMHI was modernized in 2006-2007. Old measurements were closed down after 6-18 months of parallel operation of new and old measurements. This study reports the results of the comparison mainly between the old and new global and direct solar radiation measurements.On average the agreement between old and new measurements was good. The network average of ratios of whole period values was for global radiation 0.997 and for direct radiation 1.009. None of these results are significantly different from one at a level of confidence of 90 %.Despite the fairly good agreement some systematic differences between the old and new measurements were found. The differences are mainly thought to be caused by a difference in the apparent directional response between the old and new pyranometers and different viewing geometries in the old and new pyrheliometers. Functions to correct old global and direct radiation have been developed. These should be used to increase the homogeneity in Swedish solar radiation data from 1983and onwards, especially for monthly data.A new measurement method and new instruments for determination of sunshine duration were introduced in the upgraded network. A more detailed study comparing sunshine duration measurements by pyrheliometers in the old network and by contrast sensors in the modernized network, probably based on 1-minute or even instantaneous data, needs to be done in the future.

    Download full text (pdf)
    FULLTEXT01
  • 389.
    Carlund, Thomas
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Håkansson, Bertil
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Land, P
    Aerosol optical depth over the Baltic Sea derived from AERONET and SeaWiFS measurements2005In: International Journal of Remote Sensing, ISSN 0143-1161, E-ISSN 1366-5901, Vol. 26, no 2, p. 233-245Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Three years of data on aerosol optical depth (tau(a)) from the Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) station on the island of Gotland in the Baltic Sea have been analysed and compared with Sea-viewing Wide Field of view Sensor (SeaWiFS) data. Normally, the atmosphere over Gotland could be considered as clear, with a daily median value Of tau(a) at 500 nm of about 0.08. The median value of Angstrom's wavelength exponent (alpha) for wavelengths between 440 nm and 870 nm was 1.37, indicating that the dominant aerosol is more of a continental than of a pure maritime type. SeaWiFS GAC level 2 data on tau(a) and alpha were compared to data from the ground-based AERONET station. For the 37 cases of simultaneous satellite and ground-based measurements under cloud-free skies it was found that, on average, the value of tau(a)(865 nm) from SeaWiFS was about 0.02 higher than tau(a)(870 nm) from the AERONET station. At the same time approximate tau(a)(440 nm) from SeaWiFS was about 0.03 lower than tau(a)(440 nm) of AERONET. alpha(510, 865) from SeaWiFS was, on average, 1.2 lower than alpha(500, 870) from the AERONET measurements. These results cannot explain the very frequent occurences of negative values of normalized water-leaving radiance at 412 nm and 443 nm in the SeaWiFS reprocessing #3 data.

  • 390.
    Carlund, Thomas
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Kouremeti, Natalia
    Kazadzis, Stelios
    Grobner, Julian
    Aerosol optical depth determination in the UV using a four-channel precision filter radiometer2017In: Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, ISSN 1867-1381, E-ISSN 1867-8548, Vol. 10, no 3, p. 905-923Article in journal (Refereed)
    Download full text (pdf)
    fulltext
  • 391.
    Carlund, Thomas
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Landelius, Tomas
    SMHI, Research Department, Atmospheric remote sensing.
    Josefsson, Weine
    SMHI, Research Department, Atmospheric remote sensing.
    Comparison and uncertainty of aerosol optical depth estimates derived from spectral and broadband measurements2003In: Journal of applied meteorology (1988), ISSN 0894-8763, E-ISSN 1520-0450, Vol. 42, no 11, p. 1598-1610Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    An experimental comparison of spectral aerosol optical depth tau(a,lambda) derived from measurements by two spectral radiometers [a LI-COR, Inc., LI-1800 spectroradiometer and a Centre Suisse d'Electronique et de Microtechnique (CSEM) SPM2000 sun photometer] and a broadband field pyrheliometer has been made. The study was limited to three wavelengths ( 368, 500, and 778 nm), using operational calibration and optical depth calculation procedures. For measurements taken on 32 days spread over 1 yr, the rms difference in tau(a,lambda) derived from the two spectral radiometers was less than 0.01 at 500 and 778 nm. For wavelengths shorter than 500 nm and longer than 950 nm, the performance of the LI-1800 in its current configuration did not permit accurate determinations of tau(a,lambda). Estimates of spectral aerosol optical depth from broadband pyrheliometer measurements using two models of the Angstromngstrom turbidity coefficient were examined. For the broadband method that was closest to the sun photometer results, the mean (rms) differences in tau(a,lambda) were 0.014 (0.028), 0.014 (0.019), and 0.013 ( 0.014) at 368, 500, and 778 nm. The mean differences are just above the average uncertainties of the sun photometer tau(a,lambda) values (0.012, 0.011, and 0.011) for the same wavelengths, as determined through a detailed uncertainty analysis. The amount of atmospheric water vapor is a necessary input to the broadband methods. If upper-air sounding data are not available, water vapor from a meteorological forecast model yields significantly better turbidity results than does using estimates from surface measurements of air temperature and relative humidity.

  • 392. Carmichael, G R
    et al.
    Calori, G
    Hayami, H
    Uno, I
    Cho, S Y
    Engardt, Magnuz
    SMHI, Research Department, Air quality.
    Kim, S B
    Ichikawa, Y
    Ikeda, Y
    Woo, J H
    Ueda, H
    Amann, M
    The MICS-Asia study: model intercomparison of long-range transport and sulfur deposition in East Asia2002In: Atmospheric Environment, ISSN 1352-2310, E-ISSN 1873-2844, Vol. 36, no 2, p. 175-199Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    An intercomparison study involving eight long-range transport models for sulfur deposition in East Asia has been initiated, The participating models included Eulerian and Lagrangian frameworks, with a wide variety of vertical resolutions and numerical approaches. Results from this study, in which models used common data sets for emissions, meteorology, and dry, wet and chemical conversion rates, are reported and discussed. Model results for sulfur dioxide and sulfate concentrations, wet deposition amounts, for the period January and May 1993, are compared with observed quantities at 18 surface sites in East Asia. At many sites the ensemble of models is found to have high skill in predicting observed quantities. At other sites all models show poor predictive capabilities. Source-receptor relationships estimated by the models are also compared. The models show a high degree of consistency in identifying the main source-receptor relationships, as well as in the relative contributions of wet/dry pathways for removal. But at some locations estimated deposition amounts can vary by a factor or 5. The influence of model structure and parameters on model performance is discussed. The main factors determining the deposition fields are the emissions and underlying meteorological fields. Model structure in terms of vertical resolution is found to be more important than the parameterizations used for chemical conversion and removal, as these processes are highly coupled and often work in compensating directions. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.

  • 393. Carmichael, G R
    et al.
    Hayami, H
    Calori, G
    Uno, I
    Cho, S Y
    Engardt, Magnuz
    SMHI, Research Department, Air quality.
    Kim, S B
    Ichikawa, Y
    Ikeda, Y
    Ueda, H
    Amann, M
    Model intercomparison study of long range transport and sulfur deposition in East Asia (MICS-ASIA)2001In: Water, Air and Soil Pollution, ISSN 0049-6979, E-ISSN 1573-2932, Vol. 130, no 1-4, p. 51-62Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    To help improve the use of models in science & policy analysis in Asia it is necessary to have a better understanding of model performance and uncertainties. Towards this goal an intercomparison exercise has been initiated as a collaborative study of scientists interested in long-range transport in East Asia. An overview of this study is presented in this paper. The study consists of a set of prescribed test calculations with carefully controlled experiments. Models used the same domain, emission inventory, model parameters, meteorological conditions, etc. Two periods (January and May 1993) were selected to reflect long-range transport conditions under two distinct seasons. During these periods measurements of sulfur concentrations and deposition were made throughout the study region using identical sampling and analysis protocols. The intercomparison activity consists of four tasks (Blind Test, Fixed Parameter Test, Source Receptor test, and Tuning Test). All participants were asked to do Task A, and as many of the other tasks as possible. To date seven different models have participated in this study. Results and key findings are presented.

  • 394. Carmichael, G. R.
    et al.
    Sakurai, T.
    Streets, D.
    Hozumi, Y.
    Ueda, H.
    Park, S. U.
    Fung, C.
    Han, Z.
    Kajino, M.
    Engardt, Magnuz
    SMHI, Research Department, Air quality.
    Bennet, Cecilia
    SMHI, Research Department, Air quality.
    Hayami, H.
    Sartelet, K.
    Holloway, T.
    Wang, Z.
    Kannari, A.
    Fu, J.
    Matsuda, K.
    Thongbooncho, N.
    Amann, M.
    MICS-Asia II: The model intercomparison study for Asia Phase II methodology and overview of findings2008In: Atmospheric Environment, ISSN 1352-2310, E-ISSN 1873-2844, Vol. 42, no 15, p. 3468-3490Article, review/survey (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Results from the Model Intercomparison Study Asia Phase II (MICS-Asia II) are presented. Nine different regional modeling groups simulated chemistry and transport of ozone (O-3), secondary aerosol, acid deposition, and associated precursors, using common emissions and boundary conditions derived from a global model. Four-month-long periods, representing 2 years and three seasons (i.e., March, July, and December in 2001, and March in 2002), are analyzed. New observational data, obtained under the EANET (the Acid Deposition Monitoring Network in East Asia) monitoring program, were made available for this study, and these data provide a regional database to compare with model simulations. The analysis focused around seven subject areas: O-3 and related precursors, aerosols, acid deposition, global inflow of pollutants and precursor to Asia, model sensitivities to aerosol parameterization, analysis of emission fields, and detailed analyses of individual models, each of which is presented in a companion paper in this issue of Atmospheric Environment. This overview discusses the major findings of the study, as well as information on common emissions, meteorological conditions, and observations. (C) 2007 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

  • 395.
    Caron, Louis-Philippe
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre. Climate Forecasting Unit, Institut Cátála de Ciènces del clima (IC3).
    Boudreault, Mathieu
    Bruyere, Cindy L.
    Changes in large-scale controls of Atlantic tropical cyclone activity with the phases of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation2015In: Climate Dynamics, ISSN 0930-7575, E-ISSN 1432-0894, Vol. 44, no 7-8, p. 1801-1821Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Atlantic tropical cyclone activity is known to oscillate between multi-annual periods of high and low activity. These changes have been linked to the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO), a mode of variability in Atlantic sea surface temperature which modifies the large-scale conditions of the tropical Atlantic. Cyclone activity is also modulated at higher frequencies by a series of other climate factors, with some of these influences appearing to be more consistent than others. Using the HURDAT2 database and a second set of tropical cyclone data corrected for possible missing storms in the earlier part of the record, we investigate, through Poisson regressions, the relationship between a series of climate variables and a series of metrics of seasonal Atlantic cyclone activity during both phases of the AMO. We find that, while some influences, such as El Nino Southern oscillation, remain present regardless of the AMO phase, other climate factors show an influence during only one of the two phases. During the negative phase, Sahel precipitation and the North Atlantic oscillation (NAO) are measured to play a role, while during the positive phase, the 11-year solar cycle and dust concentration over the Atlantic appear to be more important. Furthermore, we show that during the negative phase of the AMO, the NAO influences all our measures of tropical cyclone activity, and we go on to provide evidence that this is not simply due to changes in steering current, the mechanism by which the NAO is usually understood to impact Atlantic cyclone activity. Finally, we conclude by demonstrating that our results are robust to the sample size as well as to the choice of the statistical model.

  • 396. Caron, Louis-Philippe
    et al.
    Jones, Colin
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Analysing present, past and future tropical cyclone activity as inferred from an ensemble of Coupled Global Climate Models2008In: Tellus. Series A, Dynamic meteorology and oceanography, ISSN 0280-6495, E-ISSN 1600-0870, Vol. 60, no 1, p. 80-96Article in journal (Refereed)
    Download full text (pdf)
    fulltext
  • 397. Caron, Louis-Philippe
    et al.
    Jones, Colin
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Understanding and simulating the link between African easterly waves and Atlantic tropical cyclones using a regional climate model: the role of domain size and lateral boundary conditions2012In: Climate Dynamics, ISSN 0930-7575, E-ISSN 1432-0894, Vol. 39, no 1-2, p. 113-135Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Using a suite of lateral boundary conditions, we investigate the impact of domain size and boundary conditions on the Atlantic tropical cyclone and african easterly Wave activity simulated by a regional climate model. Irrespective of boundary conditions, simulations closest to observed climatology are obtained using a domain covering both the entire tropical Atlantic and northern African region. There is a clear degradation when the high-resolution model domain is diminished to cover only part of the African continent or only the tropical Atlantic. This is found to be the result of biases in the boundary data, which for the smaller domains, have a large impact on TC activity. In this series of simulations, the large-scale Atlantic atmospheric environment appears to be the primary control on simulated TC activity. Weaker wave activity is usually accompanied by a shift in cyclogenesis location, from the MDR to the subtropics. All ERA40-driven integrations manage to capture the observed interannual variability and to reproduce most of the upward trend in tropical cyclone activity observed during that period. When driven by low-resolution global climate model (GCM) integrations, the regional climate model captures interannual variability (albeit with lower correlation coefficients) only if tropical cyclones form in sufficient numbers in the main development region. However, all GCM-driven integrations fail to capture the upward trend in Atlantic tropical cyclone activity. In most integrations, variations in Atlantic tropical cyclone activity appear uncorrelated with variations in African easterly wave activity.

  • 398. Caron, Louis-Philippe
    et al.
    Jones, Colin
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Doblas-Reyes, Francisco
    Multi-year prediction skill of Atlantic hurricane activity in CMIP5 decadal hindcasts2014In: Climate Dynamics, ISSN 0930-7575, E-ISSN 1432-0894, Vol. 42, no 9-10, p. 2675-2690Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Using a statistical relationship between simulated sea surface temperature and Atlantic hurricane activity, we estimate the skill of a CMIP5 multi-model ensemble at predicting multi-annual level of Atlantic hurricane activity. The series of yearly-initialized hindcasts show positive skill compared to simpler forecasts such as persistence and climatology as well as non-initialized forecasts and return anomaly correlation coefficients of similar to 0.6 and similar to 0.8 for five and nine year forecasts, respectively. Some skill is shown to remain in the later years and making use of those later years to create a lagged-ensemble yields, for individual models, results that approach that obtained by the multi-model ensemble. Some of the skill is shown to come from persisting rather than predicting the climate shift that occur in 1994-1995. After accounting for that shift, the anomaly correlation coefficient for five-year forecasts is estimated to drop to 0.4, but remains statistically significant up to lead years 3-7. Most of the skill is shown to come from the ability of the forecast systems at capturing change in Atlantic sea surface temperature, although the failure of most systems at reproducing the observed slow down in warming over the tropics in recent years leads to an underestimation of hurricane activity in the later period.

  • 399.
    Caron, Louis-Philippe
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Jones, Colin
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Vaillancourt, Paul A.
    Winger, Katja
    On the relationship between cloud-radiation interaction, atmospheric stability and Atlantic tropical cyclones in a variable-resolution climate model2013In: Climate Dynamics, ISSN 0930-7575, E-ISSN 1432-0894, Vol. 40, no 5-6, p. 1257-1269Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    We compare two 28-year simulations performed with two versions of the Global Environmental Multiscale model run in variable-resolution mode. The two versions differ only by small differences in their radiation scheme. The most significant modification introduced is a reduction in the ice effective radius, which is observed to increase absorption of upwelling infrared radiation and increase temperature in the upper troposphere. The resulting change in vertical lapse rate is then observed to drive a resolution-dependent response of convection, which in turn modifies the zonal circulation and induces significant changes in simulated Atlantic tropical cyclone activity. The resulting change in vertical lapse rate and its implication in the context of anthropogenic climate change are discussed.

  • 400.
    Caron, Louis-Philippe
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Jones, Colin
    SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.
    Winger, Katja
    Impact of resolution and downscaling technique in simulating recent Atlantic tropical cylone activity2011In: Climate Dynamics, ISSN 0930-7575, E-ISSN 1432-0894, Vol. 37, no 5-6, p. 869-892Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Using the global environmental multiscale (GEM) model, we investigate the impact of increasing model resolution from 2A degrees to 0.3A degrees on Atlantic tropical cyclone activity. There is a clear improvement in the realism of Atlantic storms with increased resolution, in part, linked to a better representation of African easterly waves. The geographical distribution of a Genesis Potential Index, composed of large-scales fields known to impact cyclone formation, coincides closely in the model with areas of high cyclogenesis. The geographical distribution of this index also improves with resolution. We then compare two techniques for achieving local high resolution over the tropical Atlantic: a limited-area model driven at the boundaries by the global 2A degrees GEM simulation and a global variable resolution model (GVAR). The limited-area domain and high-resolution part of the GVAR model coincide geographically, allowing a direct comparison between these two downscaling options. These integrations are further compared with a set of limited-area simulations employing the same domain and resolution, but driven at the boundaries by reanalysis. The limited-area model driven by reanalysis produces the most realistic Atlantic tropical cyclone variability. The GVAR simulation is clearly more accurate than the limited-area version driven by GEM-Global. Degradation in the simulated interannual variability is partly linked to the models failure to accurately reproduce the impact of atmospheric teleconnections from the equatorial Pacific and Sahel on Atlantic cyclogenesis. Through the use of a smaller limited-area grid, driven by GEM-Global 2A degrees, we show that an accurate representation of African Easterly Waves is crucial for simulating Atlantic tropical cyclone variability.

567891011 351 - 400 of 2294
CiteExportLink to result list
Permanent link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf