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  • 1.
    Berglöv, Gitte
    et al.
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    German, Jonas
    SMHI.
    Gustavsson, Hanna
    SMHI.
    Harbman, Ulrika
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Johansson, Barbro
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Improvement HBV model Rhine in FEWS: Final report2009Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    Between 1997 and 2004, the German Federal Institute of Hydrology (BfG), in cooperation with the Dutch Rijkswaterstaat Waterdienst, set up and calibrated the HBV rainfall-runoff model for the river Rhine. The model performed well for its original purpose, but less well when it was incorporated in the forecasting system FEWS in 2005. The main reason for the deteriorating performance was that the precipitation, temperature and evaporation data available for real-time applications differed from the ones used for the calibration. Another problem was that the accuracy in the low flow simulations was considered inadequate for navigation forecasts. It was thus decided that the HBV model set-up for Rhine should be updated and expanded in its functionalities primarily for use in operational forecasting. The tasks given to SMHI were:· To evaluate the evaporation calculations in HBV and recommend the best one to be used in the forecasting application.· To recalibrate the model using operationally available input data and with the aim to adequately model the whole range of flows.· To activate the HBV routine for updating model state variables before a forecast (PT updating)A new precipitation and temperature data set was provided for the calibration. This data set is consistent with the data to be used in the forecasting application, but improved as compared to the first data set used in the FEWS-DE system. To improve low flow simulations, a new model option, the contributing area approach, was used. The model was recalibrated using an automatic routine. Some minor manual parameter adjustments were made in a few sub-catchments, mainly to correct for anthropogenic influences and backwater effects on discharge measurements. The calibration was done locally for some 95 sub catchments, and verified both locally and for the total river flow.The overall model performance after recalibration with the new input data was at least as good as for the original calibration. Low flow recession and variations were reproduced to a greater degree. An evaluation with the old parameters and the new input data showed that the new data set in itself was not enough for satisfactory model performance. The recalibration was necessary. PT updating was shown to improve the forecast accuracy both for low/intermediate flows and for high flows. The effect diminishes with forecast lead time, but still remains at least up to the fifth day.

  • 2.
    Eklund, Anna
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Johnell, Anna
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Tofeldt, Linda
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Tengdelius Brunell, Johanna
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Andersson, Maria
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Ivarsson, Cajsa-Lisa
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    German, Jonas
    SMHI.
    Sjökvist, Elin
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Andersson, Elinor
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Vattennivåer, tappningar, vattentemperaturer och is i Hjälmaren Beräkningar för dagens och framtidens klimatförhållanden2017Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    Calculations have been made for how the water release, water abstraction, water temperature and ice extent are expected to change in Lake Hjälmaren up to the year 2100 due to global warming.The most noticeable effects of the future climate on Lake Hjälmaren are expected to be:

    • More frequent low water levels
    • No change in the highest water levels (the calculated maximum water level)
    • An increase in water temperature
    • A shorter ice cover period.

    The water level in Lake Hjälmaren is only expected to change by a small amount in the future climate. The most obvious change is that low water levels will be more frequent, especially during the summer and autumn. This is due to an expected increase in evaporation, both from vegetation in the lake’s catchment area and from the surface of the lake. Currently the water level is lower than 21.6 m for about one month per year onaverage. In the future the water level is expected to be lower than 21.6 m for about 3.5 months.For the highest water levels (calculated maximum water level) an increase is shown for the high emission scenario (RCP8.5) while changes are expected to be small for the scenario with limited emission of greenhouse gases (RCP4.5).The water temperature in Lake Hjälmaren is expected to increase by about half a degree by the middle of the century and by 1 to 2.5 degrees by the end of the century. The number of days per year where the surface water temperature exceeds 20 degrees is expected to increase from the current value of around 7 weeks per year to about 9 weeks per year by the middle of the century and up to 12 weeks per year by the end of the century. Currently Lake Hjälmaren is covered with ice every winter. In the future climate it is expected that there will be some winters without ice coverage. 

  • 3.
    Eklund, Anna
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Tofeldt, Linda
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Johnell, Anna
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Andersson, Maria
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Tengdelius Brunell, Johanna
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    German, Jonas
    SMHI.
    Sjökvist, Elin
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Rasmusson, Maria
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Harbman, Ulrika
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Andersson, Elinor
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Vattennivåer, tappningar, vattentemperaturer och is i Vänern. Beräkningar för dagens och framtidens klimatförhållanden2017Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [sv]

    Beräkningar har gjorts för hur vattennivåer, tappningar, vattentemperatur och is beräknas förändras i Vänern fram till 2100 på grund av den globala uppvärmningen. De tydligaste förändringarna i Vänern och Göta älv i ett framtida klimat beräknas bli att:  Det blir vanligare med låga nivåer i Vänern.  Det blir vanligare med höga nivåer i Vänern.  Det blir vanligare med låga tappningar i Göta älv.  Det blir vanligare med höga tappningar i Göta älv.  Det blir högre vattentemperaturer.  Det blir kortare perioder med is. I denna rapport redovisas nya beräkningar för Vänerns nivåer som ersätter de tidigare beräkningarna från 2010 (Bergström m.fl. 2010).

  • 4.
    Eklund, Anna
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Tofeldt, Linda
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Tengdelius Brunell, Johanna
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Johnell, Anna
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    German, Jonas
    SMHI.
    Sjökvist, Elin
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Rasmusson, Maria
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Andersson, Elinor
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Vattennivåer, tappningar, vattentemperaturer och is i Vättern Beräkningar för dagens och framtidens klimatförhållanden2017Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    Calculations have been made for how the water level, water release, water temperature and ice extent are expected to change in Lake Vättern up to the year 2100 due to global warming.The most noticeable effects of the future climate on Lake Vättern are expected to be:

    • More frequent low water levels
    • Less frequent high water levels
    • No change in the highest water levels (the calculated maximum water level)
    • An increase in water temperature
    • A shorter ice cover period.

    With a warmer climate the evaporation is expected to increase, both from vegetation in the lake’s catchment area as well as directly from the surface of the lake. This means that the water level in Lake Vättern is expected to be lower in the future. Calculations show that the average water level in Lake Vättern is expected to drop by one to two decimetres by the end of the century, with about the same reduction for all seasons.The number of days per year where the water level is below 88.3 m is expected to increase from the present value of around 1.5 months to about 3 months by the middle of the century and 4-6 months by the end of the century. The highest levels, the calculated maximum water level, are expected to remain unchanged in the future.

  • 5. Karlsson, Kristin
    et al.
    German, Jonas
    SMHI.
    Viklander, Maria
    Stormwater Pond Sediments: Temporal Trends in Heavy Metal Concentrations and Sediment Removal2010In: Soil & sediment contamination, ISSN 1532-0383, E-ISSN 1549-7887, Vol. 19, no 2, p. 217-230Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Temporal trends in stormwater pond sediment quality were evaluated by conducting field sediment surveys in 1998 and 2006. A sediment removal process in 2006 was also assessed. Results show that, for both years, the sediment closest to the inlet had the lowest concentrations of metals. The results from 1998 showed no significant differences in sediment heavy metal concentrations depth while the results from 2006 showed a decreasing trend with depth. A significant difference between the two years could be seen for Cr, Cu, and Pb. The water phase in the pond showed a difference before and after the removal of sediment. The water samples after emptying showed higher concentrations of metals as a result of disturbing and re-suspending the bottom sediment. No significant difference could be found in the samples taken from the bottom sediment before the removal of the sediment and from the sediment pile formed during the removal process. The total heavy metal concentration in water exceeded the threshold limits for the selected quality guidelines and, according to soil quality guidelines, the sediment would be classified moderately serious to serious.

  • 6.
    Olsson, Jonas
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    Dahné, Joel
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    German, Jonas
    SMHI.
    Westergren, Bo
    Stockholm Vatten AB.
    von Scherling, Mathias
    Stockholm Vatten AB.
    Kjellson, Lena
    Stockholm Vatten AB.
    Olsson, Alf
    Sweco AB.
    En studie av framtida flödesbelastning på Stockholms huvudavloppssystem2011Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    This study was performed within the SWEdish research programme on Climate, Impacts and Adaptation (SWECIA), funded by the Foundation for Strategic Environmental Research (MISTRA), with additional funding from Stockholm Vatten AB. The aim of the study was to assess the discharge load on Stockholm's main sewer system during the rest of this century in light of both climate change and population increase. For this assessment, flow simulations with MIKE Urban were performed. Reference simulations for today's climate were done both for a representative year (1984) and for some 200 selected rainfall events between 1983 and 2007. In future simulations the climate effect was taken into account by rescaling input data (temperature, precipitation, evaporation) in line with climate model scenarios and the population effect by an increase in line with official estimations. The results indicate in particular that the spill volumes to Lake Mälaren and Saltsjön will increase substantially, but also an increased inflow to the treatment plant, and thus an increased need for treatment, and an increased flood risk.

  • 7.
    Wern, Lennart
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    German, Jonas
    SMHI.
    Korttidsnederbörd i Sverige 1995 - 20082009Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [sv]

    Korta men intensiva regnhändelser är mycket viktiga inom bland annat urban hydrologi då vi här har att göra med snabba förlopp där avrinningen sker från små ytor som till stor del är hårdgjorda. Nederbördsserier med hög upplösning har därför mycket stor betydelse för all planering, analys och dimensionering av dagvattensystem, oavsett om det är frågan om rörnät eller öppna diken. Regn med varaktighet 15 min till 96 timmar har studerats genom att analysera nederbördsdata från SMHIs nät av automatiska väderstationer.Dessa stationer började installeras under våren 1995 och från början av 1996 var de flesta stationer igång. Den period vi har studerat är maj 1995 till september 2008. 114 automatstationerna har registrerat nederbörd under någon del av denna period. Sammanlagt finns 1211 stationsår med 15 minuters nederbörd. Data har granskats och ett mindre antal orimliga observationer har tagits bort eller rättats. Sammanställningar av årets största regn med olika varaktigheter har gjorts. Nederbördsmängder med olika varaktighet från 15 min till 96 timmar för olika återkomsttider har beräknats med extremvärdesanalys.Den studerade perioden är för kort och antalet stationer är för få för att bestämma regionala skillnader i Sverige av korttidsnederbörd. Därför har medelvärden av korttidsnederbörd för hela Sverige beräknats. Resultat har jämförts med tidigare studier av Dahlström (2006) och Hernebring (2006). Överensstämmelsen är god för kortare regn och kortare återkomsttider.

1 - 7 of 7
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  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
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  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
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