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Simulating river flow to the Baltic Sea from climate simulations over the past millennium
SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5701-5922
SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1986-8374
SMHI, Research Department, Climate research - Rossby Centre.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6495-1038
SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
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2009 (English)In: Boreal environment research, ISSN 1239-6095, E-ISSN 1797-2469, Vol. 14, no 1, 173-182 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The aim of this study was to reconstruct river flow to the Baltic Sea using data from different periods during the past thousand years. A hydrological model coupled to simulations from climate models was used to estimate river flow. A "millennium" simulation of past climate from the ECHO-G coupled atmosphere-ocean global climate model provided climatological inputs. Results from this global model were downscaled with the RCA3 regional climate model over northern Europe. Temperature and precipitation from the downscaled simulation results were then used in the HBV hydrological model to simulate river flows to the Baltic Sea for the periods 1000-1199 and 1551-1929. These were compared with observations for the period 1921-2002. A general conclusion from this work is that although climate has varied during the past millennium, variability in annual river flow to the Baltic Sea does not appear more pronounced in recent years than during the previous millennium, or vice versa.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2009. Vol. 14, no 1, 173-182 p.
National Category
Climate Research
Research subject
Climate
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:smhi:diva-633ISI: 000264429500017OAI: oai:DiVA.org:smhi-633DiVA: diva2:806952
Conference
5th Study Conference on BALTEX, JUN 04-08, 2007, Kuressaare, ESTONIA
Available from: 2015-04-22 Created: 2015-04-21 Last updated: 2016-04-07Bibliographically approved

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Graham, PhilOlsson, JonasKjellström, ErikRosberg, JörgenHellström, Sara-Sofia
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