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Climate Change Impact on Riverine Nutrient Load and Land-Based Remedial Measures of the Baltic Sea Action Plan
SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-8314-0735
SMHI, Professional Services.
SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0086-4453
2012 (English)In: Ambio, ISSN 0044-7447, E-ISSN 1654-7209, Vol. 41, no 6, 600-612 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

To reduce eutrophication of the Baltic Sea, all nine surrounding countries have agreed upon reduction targets in the HELCOM Baltic Sea Action Plan (BSAP). Yet, monitoring sites and model concepts for decision support are few. To provide one more tool for analysis of water and nutrient fluxes in the Baltic Sea basin, the HYPE model has been applied to the region (called Balt-HYPE). It was used here for experimenting with land-based remedial measures and future climate projections to quantify the impacts of these on water and nutrient loads to the sea. The results suggest that there is a possibility to reach the BSAP nutrient reduction targets by 2100, and that climate change may both aggravate and help in some aspects. Uncertainties in the model results are large, mainly due to the spread of the climate model projections, but also due to the hydrological model.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2012. Vol. 41, no 6, 600-612 p.
Keyword [en]
Nutrient modelling, Climate change, Remedial measures, Baltic Sea basin
National Category
Oceanography, Hydrology, Water Resources
Research subject
Hydrology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:smhi:diva-443DOI: 10.1007/s13280-012-0323-0ISI: 000308039100008PubMedID: 22926882OAI: oai:DiVA.org:smhi-443DiVA: diva2:806364
Available from: 2015-04-20 Created: 2015-04-14 Last updated: 2016-05-23Bibliographically approved

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Arheimer, BeritDahne, JoelDonnelly, Chantal
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