Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Is the ozone climate penalty robust in Europe?
SMHI, Research Department, Air quality.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7853-932X
Show others and affiliations
2015 (English)In: Environmental Research Letters, E-ISSN 1748-9326, Vol. 10, no 8, article id 084015Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Resource type
Text
Abstract [en]

Ozone air pollution is identified as one of the main threats bearing upon human health and ecosystems, with 25 000 deaths in 2005 attributed to surface ozone in Europe (IIASA 2013 TSAP Report #10). In addition, there is a concern that climate change could negate ozone pollution mitigation strategies, making them insufficient over the long run and jeopardising chances to meet the long term objective set by the European Union Directive of 2008 (Directive 2008/50/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 21 May 2008) (60 ppbv, daily maximum). This effect has been termed the ozone climate penalty. One way of assessing this climate penalty is by driving chemistry-transport models with future climate projections while holding the ozone precursor emissions constant (although the climate penalty may also be influenced by changes in emission of precursors). Here we present an analysis of the robustness of the climate penalty in Europe across time periods and scenarios by analysing the databases underlying 11 articles published on the topic since 2007, i.e. a total of 25 model projections. This substantial body of literature has never been explored to assess the uncertainty and robustness of the climate ozone penalty because of the use of different scenarios, time periods and ozone metrics. Despite the variability of model design and setup in this database of 25 model projection, the present meta-analysis demonstrates the significance and robustness of the impact of climate change on European surface ozone with a latitudinal gradient from a penalty bearing upon large parts of continental Europe and a benefit over the North Atlantic region of the domain. Future climate scenarios present a penalty for summertime (JJA) surface ozone by the end of the century (2071-2100) of at most 5 ppbv. Over European land surfaces, the 95% confidence interval of JJA ozone change is [0.44; 0.64] and [0.99; 1.50] ppbv for the 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 time windows, respectively.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2015. Vol. 10, no 8, article id 084015
National Category
Environmental Sciences
Research subject
Environment
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:smhi:diva-1935DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/8/084015ISI: 000366999400016OAI: oai:DiVA.org:smhi-1935DiVA, id: diva2:924808
Available from: 2016-04-29 Created: 2016-03-03 Last updated: 2024-01-17Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

fulltext(2155 kB)251 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 2155 kBChecksum SHA-512
dd43fa6183b9c56d1b622601ed19a67fc6495e248123701ab92973250ff164edf3fabad64d8675b3899ba70beda987a8b9e67fae95678792f862985408a030a3
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

Other links

Publisher's full text

Authority records

Andersson, CamillaChristensen, Jesper H.Engardt, MagnuzGeels, CamillaLangner, JoakimStevenson, David S.

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Andersson, CamillaChristensen, Jesper H.Engardt, MagnuzGeels, CamillaLangner, JoakimStevenson, David S.
By organisation
Air quality
In the same journal
Environmental Research Letters
Environmental Sciences

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 251 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 336 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf