Ändra sökning
RefereraExporteraLänk till posten
Permanent länk

Direktlänk
Referera
Referensformat
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Annat format
Fler format
Språk
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Annat språk
Fler språk
Utmatningsformat
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
MACC regional multi-model ensemble simulations of birch pollen dispersion in Europe
Visa övriga samt affilieringar
2015 (Engelska)Ingår i: Atmospheric Chemistry And Physics, ISSN 1680-7316, E-ISSN 1680-7324, Vol. 15, nr 14, s. 8115-8130Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Resurstyp
Text
Abstract [en]

This paper presents the first ensemble modelling experiment in relation to birch pollen in Europe. The seven-model European ensemble of MACC-ENS, tested in trial simulations over the flowering season of 2010, was run through the flowering season of 2013. The simulations have been compared with observations in 11 countries, all members of the European Aeroallergen Network, for both individual models and the ensemble mean and median. It is shown that the models successfully reproduced the timing of the very late season of 2013, generally within a couple of days from the observed start of the season. The end of the season was generally predicted later than observed, by 5 days or more, which is a known feature of the source term used in the study. Absolute pollen concentrations during the season were somewhat underestimated in the southern part of the birch habitat. In the northern part of Europe, a record-low pollen season was strongly overestimated by all models. The median of the multi-model ensemble demonstrated robust performance, successfully eliminating the impact of outliers, which was particularly useful since for most models this was the first experience of pollen forecasting.

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
2015. Vol. 15, nr 14, s. 8115-8130
Nationell ämneskategori
Miljövetenskap
Forskningsämne
Miljö
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:smhi:diva-1964DOI: 10.5194/acp-15-8115-2015ISI: 000358799000023OAI: oai:DiVA.org:smhi-1964DiVA, id: diva2:923672
Tillgänglig från: 2016-04-27 Skapad: 2016-03-03 Senast uppdaterad: 2017-11-30Bibliografiskt granskad

Open Access i DiVA

fulltext(8848 kB)109 nedladdningar
Filinformation
Filnamn FULLTEXT01.pdfFilstorlek 8848 kBChecksumma SHA-512
da38a30c01650c81d923c431a16b9a20f6821be97123792851acfcfffe3f62822cab858fed0d1d0412a629b3b1c99f6d230b12d0c6ce03a1e21f7a536b9eca31
Typ fulltextMimetyp application/pdf

Övriga länkar

Förlagets fulltext

Personposter BETA

Robertson, Lennart

Sök vidare i DiVA

Av författaren/redaktören
Robertson, Lennart
Av organisationen
Luftmiljö
I samma tidskrift
Atmospheric Chemistry And Physics
Miljövetenskap

Sök vidare utanför DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Totalt: 109 nedladdningar
Antalet nedladdningar är summan av nedladdningar för alla fulltexter. Det kan inkludera t.ex tidigare versioner som nu inte längre är tillgängliga.

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetricpoäng

doi
urn-nbn
Totalt: 115 träffar
RefereraExporteraLänk till posten
Permanent länk

Direktlänk
Referera
Referensformat
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Annat format
Fler format
Språk
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Annat språk
Fler språk
Utmatningsformat
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
v. 2.35.7
|