Ändra sökning
RefereraExporteraLänk till posten
Permanent länk

Direktlänk
Referera
Referensformat
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Annat format
Fler format
Språk
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Annat språk
Fler språk
Utmatningsformat
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Modeling the combined impact of changing climate and changing nutrient loads on the Baltic Sea environment in an ensemble of transient simulations for 1961-2099
SMHI, Forskningsavdelningen, Oceanografi.ORCID-id: 0000-0003-1068-746X
SMHI, Forskningsavdelningen, Oceanografi.
SMHI, Forskningsavdelningen, Oceanografi.ORCID-id: 0000-0003-3144-5099
SMHI, Forskningsavdelningen, Oceanografi.
Visa övriga samt affilieringar
2012 (Engelska)Ingår i: Climate Dynamics, ISSN 0930-7575, E-ISSN 1432-0894, Vol. 39, nr 9-10, s. 2421-2441Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Abstract [en]

The combined future impacts of climate change and industrial and agricultural practices in the Baltic Sea catchment on the Baltic Sea ecosystem were assessed. For this purpose 16 transient simulations for 1961-2099 using a coupled physical-biogeochemical model of the Baltic Sea were performed. Four climate scenarios were combined with four nutrient load scenarios ranging from a pessimistic business-as-usual to a more optimistic case following the Baltic Sea Action Plan (BSAP). Annual and seasonal mean changes of climate parameters and ecological quality indicators describing the environmental status of the Baltic Sea like bottom oxygen, nutrient and phytoplankton concentrations and Secchi depths were studied. Assuming present-day nutrient concentrations in the rivers, nutrient loads from land increase during the twenty first century in all investigated scenario simulations due to increased volume flows caused by increased net precipitation in the Baltic catchment area. In addition, remineralization rates increase due to increased water temperatures causing enhanced nutrient flows from the sediments. Cause-and-effect studies suggest that both processes may play an important role for the biogeochemistry of eutrophicated seas in future climate partly counteracting nutrient load reduction efforts like the BSAP.

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
2012. Vol. 39, nr 9-10, s. 2421-2441
Nyckelord [en]
Numerical modeling, Baltic Sea, Climate change, Scenarios, Marine ecosystems, Eutrophication, Baltic Sea Action Plan
Nationell ämneskategori
Oceanografi, hydrologi och vattenresurser
Forskningsämne
Oceanografi
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:smhi:diva-431DOI: 10.1007/s00382-012-1339-7ISI: 000310224400020OAI: oai:DiVA.org:smhi-431DiVA, id: diva2:806642
Tillgänglig från: 2015-04-21 Skapad: 2015-04-14 Senast uppdaterad: 2018-01-11Bibliografiskt granskad

Open Access i DiVA

Fulltext saknas i DiVA

Övriga länkar

Förlagets fulltext

Personposter BETA

Meier, MarkusHordoir, RobinsonAndersson, HelénDieterich, ChristianEilola, KariHöglund, AndersSchimanke, Semjon

Sök vidare i DiVA

Av författaren/redaktören
Meier, MarkusHordoir, RobinsonAndersson, HelénDieterich, ChristianEilola, KariHöglund, AndersSchimanke, Semjon
Av organisationen
Oceanografi
I samma tidskrift
Climate Dynamics
Oceanografi, hydrologi och vattenresurser

Sök vidare utanför DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetricpoäng

doi
urn-nbn
Totalt: 179 träffar
RefereraExporteraLänk till posten
Permanent länk

Direktlänk
Referera
Referensformat
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Annat format
Fler format
Språk
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Annat språk
Fler språk
Utmatningsformat
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
v. 2.35.8
|