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Climate Change Impact on Riverine Nutrient Load and Land-Based Remedial Measures of the Baltic Sea Action Plan
SMHI, Forskningsavdelningen, Hydrologi.ORCID-id: 0000-0001-8314-0735
SMHI, Affärsverksamhet.
SMHI, Forskningsavdelningen, Hydrologi.ORCID-id: 0000-0002-0086-4453
2012 (engelsk)Inngår i: Ambio, ISSN 0044-7447, E-ISSN 1654-7209, Vol. 41, nr 6, s. 600-612Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

To reduce eutrophication of the Baltic Sea, all nine surrounding countries have agreed upon reduction targets in the HELCOM Baltic Sea Action Plan (BSAP). Yet, monitoring sites and model concepts for decision support are few. To provide one more tool for analysis of water and nutrient fluxes in the Baltic Sea basin, the HYPE model has been applied to the region (called Balt-HYPE). It was used here for experimenting with land-based remedial measures and future climate projections to quantify the impacts of these on water and nutrient loads to the sea. The results suggest that there is a possibility to reach the BSAP nutrient reduction targets by 2100, and that climate change may both aggravate and help in some aspects. Uncertainties in the model results are large, mainly due to the spread of the climate model projections, but also due to the hydrological model.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
2012. Vol. 41, nr 6, s. 600-612
Emneord [en]
Nutrient modelling, Climate change, Remedial measures, Baltic Sea basin
HSV kategori
Forskningsprogram
Hydrologi
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:smhi:diva-443DOI: 10.1007/s13280-012-0323-0ISI: 000308039100008PubMedID: 22926882OAI: oai:DiVA.org:smhi-443DiVA, id: diva2:806364
Tilgjengelig fra: 2015-04-20 Laget: 2015-04-14 Sist oppdatert: 2018-01-11bibliografisk kontrollert

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