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Projected Change-Atmosphere
SMHI, Forskningsavdelningen, Klimatforskning - Rossby Centre.ORCID-id: 0000-0002-6495-1038
2015 (engelsk)Kapittel i bok, del av antologi (Annet vitenskapelig)
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Text
Abstract [en]

This chapter builds on the comprehensive summary of climate change scenarios in the first BACC assessment published in 2008. This chapter first addresses the dynamical downscaling of general circulation model (GCM) results to the regional scale, focussing on results from 13 regional climate model (RCM) simulations in the ENSEMBLES project as this European-scale ensemble simulation is also relevant for the Baltic Sea region and many studies on temperature, precipitation, wind speed and snow amounts have been performed. This chapter then reviews statistical downscaling studies that use large-scale atmospheric variables (predictors) to estimate possible future change in several smaller scale fields (predictands), with the greatest emphasis given to hydrological variables (such as precipitation and run-off). For the Baltic Sea basin, the findings of the statistical downscaling studies are generally in line with studies employing dynamical downscaling.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
2015. s. 217-233
Serie
SECOND ASSESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE FOR THE BALTIC SEA BASIN
HSV kategori
Forskningsprogram
Klimat
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:smhi:diva-2041DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-16006-1_11ISI: 000367908100015OAI: oai:DiVA.org:smhi-2041DiVA, id: diva2:925470
Tilgjengelig fra: 2016-05-02 Laget: 2016-05-02 Sist oppdatert: 2016-05-02bibliografisk kontrollert

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