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On interpreting hydrological change from regional climate models
SMHI, Forskningsavdelningen, Klimatforskning - Rossby Centre.ORCID-id: 0000-0001-5701-5922
2007 (engelsk)Inngår i: Climatic Change, ISSN 0165-0009, E-ISSN 1573-1480, Vol. 81, s. 97-122Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

Although representation of hydrology is included in all regional climate models (RCMs), the utility of hydrological results from RCMs varies considerably from model to model. Studies to evaluate and compare the hydrological components of a suite of RCMs and their use in assessing hydrological impacts from future climate change were carried out over Europe. This included using different methods to transfer RCM runoff directly to river discharge and coupling different RCMs to offline hydrological models using different methods to transfer the climate change signal between models. The work focused on drainage areas to the Baltic Basin, the Botlinian Bay Basin and the Rhine Basin. A total of 20 anthropogenic climate change scenario simulations from 11 different RCMs were used. One conclusion is that choice of GCM (global climate model) has a larger impact on projected hydrological change than either selection of emissions scenario or RCM used for downscaling.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
2007. Vol. 81, s. 97-122
HSV kategori
Forskningsprogram
Hydrologi; Klimat
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:smhi:diva-753DOI: 10.1007/s10584-006-9217-0ISI: 000247529400006OAI: oai:DiVA.org:smhi-753DiVA, id: diva2:808437
Tilgjengelig fra: 2015-04-28 Laget: 2015-04-22 Sist oppdatert: 2017-12-04bibliografisk kontrollert

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