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Downscaling daily precipitation time series using a combined circulation- and regression-based approach
SMHI, Forskningsavdelningen, Hydrologi.
2010 (engelsk)Inngår i: Journal of Theoretical and Applied Climatology, ISSN 0177-798X, E-ISSN 1434-4483, Vol. 102, nr 3-4, s. 439-454Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

The aim of this paper is to introduce a new conditional statistical model for generating daily precipitation time series. The generated daily precipitation can thus be used for climate change impact studies, e.g., crop production, rainfall-runoff, and other water-related processes. It is a stochastic model that links local rainfall events to a continuous atmospheric predictor, moisture flux, in addition to classified atmospheric circulation patterns. The coupled moisture flux is proved to be capable of capturing continuous property of climate system and providing extra information to determine rainfall probability and rainfall amount. The application was made to simultaneously downscale daily precipitation at multiple sites within the Rhine River basin. The results show that the model can well reproduce statistical properties of daily precipitation time series. Especially for extreme rainfall events, the model is thought to better reflect rainfall variability compared to the pure CP-based downscaling approach.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
2010. Vol. 102, nr 3-4, s. 439-454
HSV kategori
Forskningsprogram
Hydrologi
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:smhi:diva-553DOI: 10.1007/s00704-010-0272-0ISI: 000284069600017OAI: oai:DiVA.org:smhi-553DiVA, id: diva2:806927
Tilgjengelig fra: 2015-04-22 Laget: 2015-04-20 Sist oppdatert: 2018-01-11bibliografisk kontrollert

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