Endre søk
RefereraExporteraLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Referera
Referensformat
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Annet format
Fler format
Språk
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Annet språk
Fler språk
Utmatningsformat
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
The European climate under a 2 degrees C global warming
SMHI, Forskningsavdelningen, Klimatforskning - Rossby Centre.ORCID-id: 0000-0002-6495-1038
Vise andre og tillknytning
2014 (engelsk)Inngår i: Environmental Research Letters, ISSN 1748-9326, E-ISSN 1748-9326, Vol. 9, nr 3, artikkel-id 034006Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

A global warming of 2 degrees C relative to pre-industrial climate has been considered as a threshold which society should endeavor to remain below, in order to limit the dangerous effects of anthropogenic climate change. The possible changes in regional climate under this target level of global warming have so far not been investigated in detail. Using an ensemble of 15 regional climate simulations downscaling six transient global climate simulations, we identify the respective time periods corresponding to 2 degrees C global warming, describe the range of projected changes for the European climate for this level of global warming, and investigate the uncertainty across the multi-model ensemble. Robust changes in mean and extreme temperature, precipitation, winds and surface energy budgets are found based on the ensemble of simulations. The results indicate that most of Europe will experience higher warming than the global average. They also reveal strong distributional patterns across Europe, which will be important in subsequent impact assessments and adaptation responses in different countries and regions. For instance, a North-South (West-East) warming gradient is found for summer (winter) along with a general increase in heavy precipitation and summer extreme temperatures. Tying the ensemble analysis to time periods with a prescribed global temperature change rather than fixed time periods allows for the identification of more robust regional patterns of temperature changes due to removal of some of the uncertainty related to the global models' climate sensitivity.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
2014. Vol. 9, nr 3, artikkel-id 034006
Emneord [en]
regional climate change, extreme events, European climate
HSV kategori
Forskningsprogram
Klimat
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:smhi:diva-124DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/3/034006ISI: 000334068000009OAI: oai:DiVA.org:smhi-124DiVA, id: diva2:801772
Tilgjengelig fra: 2015-04-10 Laget: 2015-03-26 Sist oppdatert: 2017-12-04bibliografisk kontrollert

Open Access i DiVA

fulltext(1685 kB)170 nedlastinger
Filinformasjon
Fil FULLTEXT01.pdfFilstørrelse 1685 kBChecksum SHA-512
f071969751b7dfde32442b9a6b0c45fa08e1f2b58d328fcea3bbbf615fc23a643beff31b9df052b68b1f914839f6a812b25e3145cd8b8fde8b94eafd82b03639
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

Andre lenker

Forlagets fulltekst

Personposter BETA

Kjellström, ErikNikulin, GrigoryTeichmann, Claas

Søk i DiVA

Av forfatter/redaktør
Kjellström, ErikNikulin, GrigoryTeichmann, Claas
Av organisasjonen
I samme tidsskrift
Environmental Research Letters

Søk utenfor DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Totalt: 170 nedlastinger
Antall nedlastinger er summen av alle nedlastinger av alle fulltekster. Det kan for eksempel være tidligere versjoner som er ikke lenger tilgjengelige

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric

doi
urn-nbn
Totalt: 438 treff
RefereraExporteraLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Referera
Referensformat
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Annet format
Fler format
Språk
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Annet språk
Fler språk
Utmatningsformat
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
v. 2.35.8
|