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Publikationer (10 of 38) Visa alla publikationer
Thomas, M., Devasthale, A., Koenigk, T., Wyser, K., Roberts, M., Roberts, C. & Lohmann, K. (2019). A statistical and process-oriented evaluation of cloud radiative effects in high-resolution global models. Geoscientific Model Development, 12(4), 1679-1702
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>A statistical and process-oriented evaluation of cloud radiative effects in high-resolution global models
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2019 (Engelska)Ingår i: Geoscientific Model Development, ISSN 1991-959X, E-ISSN 1991-9603, Vol. 12, nr 4, s. 1679-1702Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Nationell ämneskategori
Klimatforskning
Forskningsämne
Klimat
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urn:nbn:se:smhi:diva-5201 (URN)10.5194/gmd-12-1679-2019 (DOI)000466174100001 ()
Tillgänglig från: 2019-05-07 Skapad: 2019-05-07 Senast uppdaterad: 2019-05-07Bibliografiskt granskad
Thomas, M., Devasthale, A., L'Ecuyer, T., Wang, S., Koenigk, T. & Wyser, K. (2019). Snowfall distribution and its response to the Arctic Oscillation: an evaluation of HighResMIP models in the Arctic using CPR/CloudSat observations. Geoscientific Model Development, 12(8), 3759-3772
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>Snowfall distribution and its response to the Arctic Oscillation: an evaluation of HighResMIP models in the Arctic using CPR/CloudSat observations
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2019 (Engelska)Ingår i: Geoscientific Model Development, ISSN 1991-959X, E-ISSN 1991-9603, Vol. 12, nr 8, s. 3759-3772Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
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Klimatforskning
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Klimat
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urn:nbn:se:smhi:diva-5414 (URN)10.5194/gmd-12-3759-2019 (DOI)000483069400001 ()
Tillgänglig från: 2019-09-18 Skapad: 2019-09-18 Senast uppdaterad: 2019-09-18Bibliografiskt granskad
Betts, R. A., Alfieri, L., Bradshaw, C., Caesar, J., Feyen, L., Friedlingstein, P., . . . Wyser, K. (2018). Changes in climate extremes, fresh water availability and vulnerability to food insecurity projected at 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C global warming with a higher-resolution global climate model. Philosophical Transactions. Series A: Mathematical, physical, and engineering science, 376(2119), Article ID 20160452.
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>Changes in climate extremes, fresh water availability and vulnerability to food insecurity projected at 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C global warming with a higher-resolution global climate model
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2018 (Engelska)Ingår i: Philosophical Transactions. Series A: Mathematical, physical, and engineering science, ISSN 1364-503X, E-ISSN 1471-2962, Vol. 376, nr 2119, artikel-id 20160452Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
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Klimatforskning
Forskningsämne
Klimat
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urn:nbn:se:smhi:diva-4578 (URN)10.1098/rsta.2016.0452 (DOI)000429046300007 ()29610383 (PubMedID)
Tillgänglig från: 2018-04-25 Skapad: 2018-04-25 Senast uppdaterad: 2018-04-25Bibliografiskt granskad
Dosio, A., Mentaschi, L., Fischer, E. M. & Wyser, K. (2018). Extreme heat waves under 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C global warming. Environmental Research Letters, 13(5), Article ID 054006.
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>Extreme heat waves under 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C global warming
2018 (Engelska)Ingår i: Environmental Research Letters, ISSN 1748-9326, E-ISSN 1748-9326, Vol. 13, nr 5, artikel-id 054006Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
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urn:nbn:se:smhi:diva-4656 (URN)10.1088/1748-9326/aab827 (DOI)000430945200002 ()
Tillgänglig från: 2018-05-16 Skapad: 2018-05-16 Senast uppdaterad: 2018-05-16Bibliografiskt granskad
Koutroulis, A. G., Papadimitriou, L. V., Grillakis, M. G., Tsanis, I. K., Wyser, K. & Betts, R. A. (2018). Freshwater vulnerability under high end climate change. A pan-European assessment. Science of the Total Environment, 613, 271-286
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>Freshwater vulnerability under high end climate change. A pan-European assessment
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2018 (Engelska)Ingår i: Science of the Total Environment, ISSN 0048-9697, E-ISSN 1879-1026, Vol. 613, s. 271-286Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Nationell ämneskategori
Klimatforskning
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urn:nbn:se:smhi:diva-4423 (URN)10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.09.074 (DOI)000414160500029 ()
Tillgänglig från: 2017-11-21 Skapad: 2017-11-21 Senast uppdaterad: 2017-11-21Bibliografiskt granskad
Naumann, G., Alfieri, L., Wyser, K., Mentaschi, L., Betts, R. A., Carrao, H., . . . Feyen, L. (2018). Global Changes in Drought Conditions Under Different Levels of Warming. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(7), 3285-3296
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>Global Changes in Drought Conditions Under Different Levels of Warming
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2018 (Engelska)Ingår i: Geophysical Research Letters, ISSN 0094-8276, E-ISSN 1944-8007, Vol. 45, nr 7, s. 3285-3296Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
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Klimatforskning
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urn:nbn:se:smhi:diva-4826 (URN)10.1002/2017GL076521 (DOI)000435743400047 ()
Tillgänglig från: 2018-08-06 Skapad: 2018-08-06 Senast uppdaterad: 2018-08-06Bibliografiskt granskad
Smith, D. M., Scaife, A. A., Hawkins, E., Bilbao, R., Boer, G. J., Caian, M., . . . Yeager, S. (2018). Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 degrees C. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(21), 11895-11903
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 degrees C
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2018 (Engelska)Ingår i: Geophysical Research Letters, ISSN 0094-8276, E-ISSN 1944-8007, Vol. 45, nr 21, s. 11895-11903Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Nationell ämneskategori
Klimatforskning
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urn:nbn:se:smhi:diva-5022 (URN)10.1029/2018GL079362 (DOI)000451832600042 ()
Tillgänglig från: 2018-12-19 Skapad: 2018-12-19 Senast uppdaterad: 2018-12-19Bibliografiskt granskad
Koutroulis, A. G., Papadimitriou, L. V., Grillakis, M. G., Tsanis, I. K., Wyser, K., Caesar, J. & Betts, R. A. (2018). Simulating Hydrological Impacts under Climate Change: Implications from Methodological Differences of a Pan European Assessment. Water, 10(10), Article ID 1331.
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>Simulating Hydrological Impacts under Climate Change: Implications from Methodological Differences of a Pan European Assessment
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2018 (Engelska)Ingår i: Water, ISSN 2073-4441, E-ISSN 2073-4441, Vol. 10, nr 10, artikel-id 1331Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
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Klimatforskning
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Klimat
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urn:nbn:se:smhi:diva-5019 (URN)10.3390/w10101331 (DOI)000451208400046 ()
Tillgänglig från: 2018-12-12 Skapad: 2018-12-12 Senast uppdaterad: 2018-12-12Bibliografiskt granskad
Alfieri, L., Bisselink, B., Dottori, F., Naumann, G., de Roo, A., Salamon, P., . . . Feyen, L. (2017). Global projections of river flood risk in a warmer world. Earth's Future, 5(2), 171-182
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>Global projections of river flood risk in a warmer world
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2017 (Engelska)Ingår i: Earth's Future, ISSN 1384-5160, E-ISSN 2328-4277, Vol. 5, nr 2, s. 171-182Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Nationell ämneskategori
Klimatforskning
Forskningsämne
Klimat
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urn:nbn:se:smhi:diva-4067 (URN)10.1002/2016EF000485 (DOI)000396932200004 ()
Tillgänglig från: 2017-04-25 Skapad: 2017-04-25 Senast uppdaterad: 2017-04-25Bibliografiskt granskad
Bellucci, A., Haarsma, R., Gualdi, S., Athanasiadis, P. J., Caian, M., Cassou, C., . . . Yang, S. (2015). An assessment of a multi-model ensemble of decadal climate predictions. Climate Dynamics, 44(9-10), 2787-2806
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>An assessment of a multi-model ensemble of decadal climate predictions
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2015 (Engelska)Ingår i: Climate Dynamics, ISSN 0930-7575, E-ISSN 1432-0894, Vol. 44, nr 9-10, s. 2787-2806Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Abstract [en]

A multi-model ensemble of decadal prediction experiments, performed in the framework of the EU-funded COMBINE (Comprehensive Modelling of the Earth System for Better Climate Prediction and Projection) Project following the 5th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project protocol is examined. The ensemble combines a variety of dynamical models, initialization and perturbation strategies, as well as data assimilation products employed to constrain the initial state of the system. Taking advantage of the multi-model approach, several aspects of decadal climate predictions are assessed, including predictive skill, impact of the initialization strategy and the level of uncertainty characterizing the predicted fluctuations of key climate variables. The present analysis adds to the growing evidence that the current generation of climate models adequately initialized have significant skill in predicting years ahead not only the anthropogenic warming but also part of the internal variability of the climate system. An important finding is that the multi-model ensemble mean does generally outperform the individual forecasts, a well-documented result for seasonal forecasting, supporting the need to extend the multi-model framework to real-time decadal predictions in order to maximize the predictive capabilities of currently available decadal forecast systems. The multi-model perspective did also allow a more robust assessment of the impact of the initialization strategy on the quality of decadal predictions, providing hints of an improved forecast skill under full-value (with respect to anomaly) initialization in the near-term range, over the Indo-Pacific equatorial region. Finally, the consistency across the different model predictions was assessed. Specifically, different systems reveal a general agreement in predicting the near-term evolution of surface temperatures, displaying positive correlations between different decadal hindcasts over most of the global domain.

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Klimatforskning
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Klimat
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:smhi:diva-2002 (URN)10.1007/s00382-014-2164-y (DOI)000351459800026 ()
Tillgänglig från: 2016-04-13 Skapad: 2016-03-03 Senast uppdaterad: 2017-11-30Bibliografiskt granskad
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